Conf =  Suburban                  Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Garnet Raiders       Coach  =   Michael Joyce         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.7770691    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 N Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (11- 8, 87.4)     7- 6   
 407 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-11, 81.6)     7- 6  o
 412 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (19- 2, 99.9)     4-12   
 414 A Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (15- 4, 97.9)     4-11   
 416 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 81.2)     9-11   
 419 H Burnt Hills            NY B  Sec 2   (11- 8, 86.1)     9- 7   
 421 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 85.9)     2- 5   
 423 N Henninger              NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 77.7)     8- 7   
 430 H Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-17, 70.1)    14- 1   
 503 A Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 9, 86.6)     3- 6   
 505 H Saratoga Springs       NY A  Sec 2   ( 4-12, 81.3)    10- 8   
 507 A Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   (13- 5, 86.6)    16- 9   
 511 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 85.9)     7- 6   
 513 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-11, 81.6)     7- 8   
 516 A Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-17, 70.1)    12- 3   
 518 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (11- 8, 87.4)     5- 7   
 521 H Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-17, 70.1)    12- 6   
 525 A Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 9, 86.6)     6- 7  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 N Shaker                  7- 6       1    -1    +      2.24
   407 A Bethlehem               7- 6  o    1     3    -     -2.55
   412 H Shenendehowa            4-12      -8   -12    +      2.00
   414 A Niskayuna               4-11      -7   -12    +      3.00
   416 A Cicero-North Syracuse   9-11      -2     4          n/a  
   419 H Burnt Hills             9- 7       2     1           0.96
   421 H Guilderland             2- 5      -3     1    --    -4.25
   423 N Henninger               8- 7       1     8          n/a  
   430 H Columbia               14- 1      13    17           0.00
   503 A Ballston Spa            3- 6      -3    -1          -1.56
   505 H Saratoga Springs       10- 8       2     5    -     -3.80
   507 A Schenectady            16- 9       7    -1    +++    8.43
   511 A Guilderland             7- 6       1     0           1.70
   513 H Bethlehem               7- 8      -1     5    ---   -6.49
   516 A Columbia               12- 3       9    15          -1.00
   518 A Shaker                  5- 7      -2    -2           0.22
   521 H Columbia               12- 6       6    17    --    -4.00
   525 A Ballston Spa            6- 7  o   -1    -1           0.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Cicero-North Syracuse   9-11      -2     4    ---        
   423 N Henninger               8- 7       1     8    ---        
   513 H Bethlehem               7- 8      -1     5    ---   -6.49
   421 H Guilderland             2- 5      -3     1    --    -4.25
   521 H Columbia               12- 6       6    17    --    -4.00
   407 A Bethlehem               7- 6  o    1     3    -     -2.55
   505 H Saratoga Springs       10- 8       2     5    -     -3.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Schenectady            16- 9       7    -1    +++    8.43
   401 N Shaker                  7- 6       1    -1    +      2.24
   412 H Shenendehowa            4-12      -8   -12    +      2.00
   414 A Niskayuna               4-11      -7   -12    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.12 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.87 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/