Region = PA    Div2-S1          
   Nickname = A Colts                Coach  =   Tony Greco            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.6585236    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Upper St Clair         PA    Div1-S1 ( 9- 8, 90.3)     3-10   
 328 A North Hills            PA    Div2-S2 ( 7- 8, 79.1)    11- 4   
 331 A Winchester Thurston    PA    Div2-S1 ( 7- 4, 84.1)     5- 3   
 401 A Hampton                PA    Div2-S2 (13- 7, 90.5)     9- 8   
 404 H Trinity                PA    Div1-S1 ( 1-13, 69.1)    15- 3   
 407 H Latrobe                PA    Div2-S1 ( 1-12, 68.6)    18- 3   
 412 A Norwin                 PA    Div2-S1 ( 1-11, 69.2)    14- 2   
 414 A Greensburg Cath Cent   PA    Div2-S1 (15- 5, 90.6)     4-10   
 416 A Peters Township        PA    Div1-S1 (12- 8, 91.2)     4- 7   
 418 H Shaler Area            PA    Div2-S2 ( 5-11, 78.3)    15- 5   
 421 H Baldwin                PA    Div2-S1 (14- 4, 89.0)    14- 1   
 425 H Pine Richland          PA    Div1-S2 ( 9- 8, 89.9)    11- 8   
 427 H Quaker Valley          PA    Div2-S1 (11- 4, 84.0)    10- 5   
 429 H Bethel Park            PA    Div1-S1 ( 7-11, 85.5)     6-11   
 504 A Seton LaSalle          PA    Div2-S1 ( 5-10, 73.9)    12- 3   
 509 A Fox Chapel             PA    Div1-S2 ( 6-12, 81.8)    11- 4   
 511 H Canon-McMillan         PA    Div2-S1 ( 7-10, 74.0)    17- 4   
 518 H Cathedral Prep         PA    Div2-S2 ( 6-14, 79.7)    11-10   
 525 N Hampton                PA    Div2-S2 (13- 7, 90.5)    13-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Upper St Clair          3-10      -7    -1    --    -5.57
   328 A North Hills            11- 4       7     9    -     -2.78
   331 A Winchester Thurston     5- 3       2     4    -     -2.80
   401 A Hampton                 9- 8       1    -1    +      2.61
   404 H Trinity                15- 3      12    21           0.00
   407 H Latrobe                18- 3      15    21           0.00
   412 A Norwin                 14- 2      12    19           0.00
   414 A Greensburg Cath Cent    4-10      -6    -1    --    -4.32
   416 A Peters Township         4- 7      -3    -2          -0.68
   418 H Shaler Area            15- 5      10    12           0.00
   421 H Baldwin                14- 1      13     1    +++    8.70
   425 H Pine Richland          11- 8       3     0    +      2.60
   427 H Quaker Valley          10- 5       5     6          -1.32
   429 H Bethel Park             6-11      -5     4    ---   -9.79
   504 A Seton LaSalle          12- 3       9    14          -1.00
   509 A Fox Chapel             11- 4       7     7          -0.08
   511 H Canon-McMillan         17- 4      13    16           0.00
   518 H Cathedral Prep         11-10       1    10    ---   -9.00
   525 N Hampton                13-16      -3     0    -     -2.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Bethel Park             6-11      -5     4    ---   -9.79
   518 H Cathedral Prep         11-10       1    10    ---   -9.00
   325 A Upper St Clair          3-10      -7    -1    --    -5.57
   414 A Greensburg Cath Cent    4-10      -6    -1    --    -4.32
   328 A North Hills            11- 4       7     9    -     -2.78
   331 A Winchester Thurston     5- 3       2     4    -     -2.80
   525 N Hampton                13-16      -3     0    -     -2.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Baldwin                14- 1      13     1    +++    8.70
   401 A Hampton                 9- 8       1    -1    +      2.61
   425 H Pine Richland          11- 8       3     0    +      2.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.59 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.04 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/