Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Lions                Coach  =   Tom Gallagher         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.7449493    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Catholic Memorial      MA 2          (13- 7, 87.5)     9-12   
 405 A Central Catholic       MA 1          ( 4-14, 73.6)    11- 1   
 408 H Andover HS             MA 1          (12- 8, 86.9)     2- 8   
 412 A Haverhill              MA 1          ( 5-12, 75.7)    11- 6   
 415 A Billerica              MA 1          (20- 3, 97.8)     3-16   
 419 A Malden Catholic        MA 1          ( 8-10, 82.9)     4- 9   
 420 A Woburn                 MA 1          (11- 8, 80.9)     7- 6   
 426 H Waltham                MA 1          ( 8-10, 82.2)     3- 6   
 427 H Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          ( 1-16, 69.9)    12- 5   
 429 H Dracut                 MA 2          ( 8-11, 76.9)    11- 5   
 430 A South Hadley           MA 2          (15- 5, 97.2)     6-12   
 504 H Peabody                MA 1          ( 5-13, 73.2)    15- 5   
 506 A Andover HS             MA 1          (12- 8, 86.9)     5-14   
 510 H Westford Academy       MA 1          (15- 7, 87.4)     9-12   
 512 H Billerica              MA 1          (20- 3, 97.8)     4-14   
 514 H Salem                  MA 1          ( 6-14, 72.7)    12- 5   
 516 H Reading                MA 2          (15- 6, 87.3)    10-11 2o
 520 A Lowell                 MA 1          ( 7-10, 77.1)     9- 6   
 523 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1          ( 6-12, 84.2)     8- 7   
 525 A Wakefield              MA 2          (11- 8, 83.8)     7-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Catholic Memorial       9-12      -3    -6    +      3.88
   405 A Central Catholic       11- 1      10     7    +      2.88
   408 H Andover HS              2- 8      -6    -4          -1.39
   412 A Haverhill              11- 6       5     4           0.02
   415 A Billerica               3-16     -13   -17           0.00
   419 A Malden Catholic         4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.77
   420 A Woburn                  7- 6       1     0           1.19
   426 H Waltham                 3- 6      -3     0    -     -3.08
   427 H Tewksbury Memorial     12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00
   429 H Dracut                 11- 5       6     5           0.61
   430 A South Hadley            6-12      -6   -16          n/a  
   504 H Peabody                15- 5      10     9           0.86
   506 A Andover HS              5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.73
   510 H Westford Academy        9-12      -3    -5    +      2.04
   512 H Billerica               4-14     -10   -15           0.00
   514 H Salem                  12- 5       7     9    -     -2.62
   516 H Reading                10-11 2o   -1    -4    +      3.93
   520 A Lowell                  9- 6       3     3          -0.54
   523 A Xaverian Bros           8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.49
   525 A Wakefield               7-14      -7    -3    -     -3.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Malden Catholic         4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.77
   426 H Waltham                 3- 6      -3     0    -     -3.08
   427 H Tewksbury Memorial     12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00
   506 A Andover HS              5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.73
   514 H Salem                  12- 5       7     9    -     -2.62
   525 A Wakefield               7-14      -7    -3    -     -3.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A South Hadley            6-12      -6   -16    ++         
   523 A Xaverian Bros           8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.49
   331 A Catholic Memorial       9-12      -3    -6    +      3.88
   405 A Central Catholic       11- 1      10     7    +      2.88
   510 H Westford Academy        9-12      -3    -5    +      2.04
   516 H Reading                10-11 2o   -1    -4    +      3.93
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.50 Local Power Rank...........    51
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.09 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    76
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    45
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    80
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
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