Conf =  D2                        Region = CA    NCLA-N           
   Nickname = A Rebels               Coach  =   Dan Crozier           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.8920288    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 226 H Pleasant Grove         CA    NCLA-E  (11- 4, 94.8)     3-16   
 226 N Woodcreek              CA    NCLA-E  ( 3- 8, 77.7)     4- 6   
 227 N Orangevale             CA    NCLA-E  (10- 5, 91.9)     5- 7   
 305 H Petaluma               CA    NCLA-W  ( 2-12, 85.6)     5- 4   
 305 A Redding                CA    NCLA-N  (10- 4, 91.8)     5- 9   
 306 A Gold Country           CA    NCLA-N  (10- 2, 96.2)     1- 9   
 313 A Yuba City              CA    NCLA-N  ( 2- 9, 81.1)     9- 4   
 327 H Redding                CA    NCLA-N  (10- 4, 91.8)     6- 7   
 409 H Sierra Foothills       CA    NCLA-N  ( 1-13, 76.3)    10- 5   
 423 H Santa Rosa             CA    NCLA-W  (17- 3, 97.6)     4-12   
 430 H Yuba City              CA    NCLA-N  ( 2- 9, 81.1)    12- 2   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 H Pleasant Grove          3-16     -13    -8          -1.08
   226 N Woodcreek               4- 6      -2     6    ---   -8.99
   227 N Orangevale              5- 7      -2    -7    ++     5.22
   305 H Petaluma                5- 4       1     0           0.72
   305 A Redding                 5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.38
   306 A Gold Country            1- 9      -8   -12    +      2.00
   313 A Yuba City               9- 4       5     2    +      2.63
   327 H Redding                 6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.96
   409 H Sierra Foothills       10- 5       5     9    --    -4.61
   423 H Santa Rosa              4-12      -8   -11    +      2.00
   430 H Yuba City              12- 2      10     4    ++     5.22

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 N Woodcreek               4- 6      -2     6    ---   -8.99
   409 H Sierra Foothills       10- 5       5     9    --    -4.61

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 N Orangevale              5- 7      -2    -7    ++     5.22
   305 A Redding                 5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.38
   327 H Redding                 6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.96
   430 H Yuba City              12- 2      10     4    ++     5.22
   306 A Gold Country            1- 9      -8   -12    +      2.00
   313 A Yuba City               9- 4       5     2    +      2.63
   423 H Santa Rosa              4-12      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.66 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.19 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/