Conf = Fitch Region = NJ Grp-II Nickname = J Cougars Coach = Tony CalandraGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.9429016 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 402 A Ridgewood NJ Grp-III (15- 6, 94.0) 12- 7 405 A Delbarton NJ Grp-A (17- 5, 95.5) 14-15 407 H Madison NJ Grp-I (10- 9, 87.8) 10- 5 409 H Mendham NJ Grp-II ( 9-10, 86.3) 7- 6 412 H Westfield NJ Grp-IV ( 9-10, 85.8) 8- 3 414 H Ridge NJ Grp-III (14- 7, 92.1) 9- 5 416 N Fairfield Prep CT L (18- 5, 93.4) 8-10 419 H Red Bank Catholic NJ Grp-A ( 9- 8, 80.9) 12- 3 421 H West Morris Central NJ Grp-III ( 8-11, 84.0) 14- 3 426 H Summit NJ Grp-II (23- 1, 98.8) 4-12 428 A Bernards NJ Grp-I (14- 5, 87.2) 12- 3 430 A Hunterdon Central NJ Grp-IV (17- 5, 94.3) 6- 8 502 H Morris Knolls NJ Grp-III ( 9-10, 76.1) 16- 0 505 H Mount Olive NJ Grp-III (14- 4, 87.1) 14- 6 507 N Mountain Lakes NJ Grp-I (14- 6, 94.5) 7- 8 512 A West Essex Regional NJ Grp-I (12- 9, 89.1) 6- 4 517 A Montclair NJ Grp-IV (12- 9, 89.0) 8- 7 o 519 H Seton Hall Prep NJ Grp-A ( 7- 8, 87.6) 8- 7 524 H Pascack Valley NJ Grp-II (12- 7, 80.5) 11- 3 526 H Holmdel NJ Grp-II (12- 7, 84.4) 14- 5 528 H Northern Highlands NJ Grp-II (11- 9, 87.1) 9- 2 602 N Summit NJ Grp-II (23- 1, 98.8) 6- 7 5oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Ridgewood 12- 7 5 -1 +++ 6.87 405 A Delbarton 14-15 -1 -3 + 2.34 407 H Madison 10- 5 5 6 -1.48 409 H Mendham 7- 6 1 7 --- -6.97 412 H Westfield 8- 3 5 8 - -3.52 414 H Ridge 9- 5 4 2 1.86 416 N Fairfield Prep 8-10 -2 0 n/a 419 H Red Bank Catholic 12- 3 9 13 -1.00 421 H West Morris Central 14- 3 11 10 0.00 426 H Summit 4-12 -8 -4 - -3.45 428 A Bernards 12- 3 9 4 ++ 4.00 430 A Hunterdon Central 6- 8 -2 -2 0.11 502 H Morris Knolls 16- 0 16 18 0.00 505 H Mount Olive 14- 6 8 7 0.81 507 N Mountain Lakes 7- 8 -1 -1 0.28 512 A West Essex Regional 6- 4 2 3 -1.09 517 A Montclair 8- 7 o 1 3 - -2.13 519 H Seton Hall Prep 8- 7 1 6 -- -5.69 524 H Pascack Valley 11- 3 8 13 - -2.00 526 H Holmdel 14- 5 9 9 -0.91 528 H Northern Highlands 9- 2 7 7 -0.13 602 N Summit 6- 7 5o -1 -5 ++ 4.61UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Mendham 7- 6 1 7 --- -6.97 519 H Seton Hall Prep 8- 7 1 6 -- -5.69 412 H Westfield 8- 3 5 8 - -3.52 426 H Summit 4-12 -8 -4 - -3.45 517 A Montclair 8- 7 o 1 3 - -2.13 524 H Pascack Valley 11- 3 8 13 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Ridgewood 12- 7 5 -1 +++ 6.87 428 A Bernards 12- 3 9 4 ++ 4.00 602 N Summit 6- 7 5o -1 -5 ++ 4.61 405 A Delbarton 14-15 -1 -3 + 2.34/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.21 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 74.94 Local SOS Rank............. 12 Local RPI Rating......... 0.67 Local RPI Rank............. 7 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 11 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.0