Region = NC    Conf-05          
   Nickname = C Tigers               Coach  =   Bob Cappelletti       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.0542450    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 A Needham-Broughton      NC    Conf-03 (12- 6, 91.0)     6-16   
 303 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Conf-03 (17- 2, 94.7)     3- 5   
 308 H Carrboro               NC    Conf-05 ( 8- 7, 83.4)     9- 6   
 311 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (18- 3, 96.8)     6- 7   
 315 H Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-05 ( 4-12, 73.5)    16- 2   
 318 H Cedar Ridge            NC    Conf-05 ( 7- 9, 80.4)    11- 4   
 321 H Wakefield              NC    Conf-03 ( 9- 7, 86.3)     5- 4 2o
 322 H Northwood              NC    Conf-05 ( 0-13, 63.3)    19- 0   
 324 H Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-04 (15- 5, 92.3)     8- 6   
 402 A St Christopher's       VA 1  VIP     (13- 8, 94.3)     7-10   
 404 H Ravenscroft School     NC    NCISAA  (12- 7, 90.9)     9-10  o
 405 A Carrboro               NC    Conf-05 ( 8- 7, 83.4)     8- 3   
 408 H East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (18- 3, 96.8)     5-10   
 412 A Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-05 ( 4-12, 73.5)    10- 1   
 415 A Cedar Ridge            NC    Conf-05 ( 7- 9, 80.4)     9- 5   
 419 A Northwood              NC    Conf-05 ( 0-13, 63.3)    14- 1   
 429 H Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-04 (15- 5, 92.3)     5- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Needham-Broughton       6-16     -10    -3    ---   -6.31
   303 A Cardinal Gibbons        3- 5      -2    -7    ++     5.35
   308 H Carrboro                9- 6       3     5    -     -2.08
   311 A East Chapel Hill        6- 7      -1    -9    +++    8.47
   315 H Hillsborough Orange    16- 2      14    15           0.00
   318 H Cedar Ridge            11- 4       7     8          -1.16
   321 H Wakefield               5- 4 2o    1     2          -1.25
   322 H Northwood              19- 0      19    25           0.00
   324 H Durham Jordan           8- 6       2    -3    ++     5.77
   402 A St Christopher's        7-10      -3    -6          n/a  
   404 H Ravenscroft School      9-10  o   -1    -1          n/a  
   405 A Carrboro                8- 3       5     3           1.10
   408 H East Chapel Hill        5-10      -5    -8    +      3.29
   412 A Hillsborough Orange    10- 1       9    13          -1.00
   415 A Cedar Ridge             9- 5       4     6    -     -2.98
   419 A Northwood              14- 1      13    24           0.00
   429 H Durham Jordan           5- 9      -4    -3          -0.23

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Needham-Broughton       6-16     -10    -3    ---   -6.31
   308 H Carrboro                9- 6       3     5    -     -2.08
   415 A Cedar Ridge             9- 5       4     6    -     -2.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A East Chapel Hill        6- 7      -1    -9    +++    8.47
   303 A Cardinal Gibbons        3- 5      -2    -7    ++     5.35
   324 H Durham Jordan           8- 6       2    -3    ++     5.77
   402 A St Christopher's        7-10      -3    -6    +          
   408 H East Chapel Hill        5-10      -5    -8    +      3.29
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.94 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.54 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/