Region = AZ 1  Div-1            
   Nickname = Z Falcons              Coach  =   Mike Kapp             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.8572235    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 A Brophy Prep            AZ 1  Div-1   (19- 4, 99.9)    10-17   
 308 A Salpointe Catholic     AZ 1  Div-1   ( 8- 8, 87.8)    11-14   
 312 H Chandler               AZ 1  Div-1   ( 9- 6, 89.3)    11- 5   
 315 H Chaparral              AZ 1  Div-1   (17- 2, 98.4)     8-16   
 319 A Corona del Sol         AZ 1  Div-1   ( 8- 7, 89.5)     9-10   
 323 H Hamilton               AZ 1  Div-1   ( 3-11, 81.3)    13- 7   
 326 H Desert Vista           AZ 1  Div-1   (12- 4, 96.3)     4-20   
 402 A Gilbert                AZ 1  Div-1   ( 2-12, 80.0)    15- 4   
 406 A Desert Mountain        AZ 1  Div-1   ( 2-12, 82.1)     9- 6   
 409 H Horizon                AZ 1  Div-1   ( 5-11, 81.6)    17- 8   
 413 A Mesa                   AZ 1  Div-1   ( 9- 7, 90.6)     9-10   
 415 A Mountain Pointe        AZ 1  Div-1   ( 1-13, 77.3)    11- 9   
 419 H Tucson Tanque Verde    AZ 1  Div-1   ( 6- 8, 86.8)    15-16  o
 423 H Saguaro                AZ 1  Div-1   (10- 6, 92.2)    18- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Brophy Prep            10-17      -7   -11    +      3.00
   308 A Salpointe Catholic     11-14      -3     1    --    -4.03
   312 H Chandler               11- 5       6     0    ++     5.29
   315 H Chaparral               8-16      -8    -8           0.44
   319 A Corona del Sol          9-10      -1     0          -0.38
   323 H Hamilton               13- 7       6     8    -     -2.62
   326 H Desert Vista            4-20     -16    -6    -     -3.68
   402 A Gilbert                15- 4      11     8           1.15
   406 A Desert Mountain         9- 6       3     6    -     -3.74
   409 H Horizon                17- 8       9     8           0.65
   413 A Mesa                    9-10      -1    -1           0.75
   415 A Mountain Pointe        11- 9       2    11    ---   -8.00
   419 H Tucson Tanque Verde    15-16  o   -1     3    --    -4.14
   423 H Saguaro                18- 6      12    -2    +++   12.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Mountain Pointe        11- 9       2    11    ---   -8.00
   308 A Salpointe Catholic     11-14      -3     1    --    -4.03
   419 H Tucson Tanque Verde    15-16  o   -1     3    --    -4.14
   323 H Hamilton               13- 7       6     8    -     -2.62
   326 H Desert Vista            4-20     -16    -6    -     -3.68
   406 A Desert Mountain         9- 6       3     6    -     -3.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Saguaro                18- 6      12    -2    +++   12.24
   312 H Chandler               11- 5       6     0    ++     5.29
   305 A Brophy Prep            10-17      -7   -11    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.41 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.63 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/