Conf =  D2                        Region = CA    NCLA-E           
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Messersmith      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.1043396    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 A Woodcreek              CA    NCLA-E  ( 3- 8, 77.7)    11- 5   
 316 H Pleasant Grove         CA    NCLA-E  (11- 4, 94.8)     1-11   
 319 H Sierra Foothills       CA    NCLA-N  ( 1-13, 76.3)     6- 4   
 323 H Orangevale             CA    NCLA-E  (10- 5, 91.9)     5- 6 2o
 326 H Elk Grove              CA    NCLA-E  ( 4- 9, 78.6)     8- 9   
 401 A Stockton               CA    NCLA-S  ( 8- 6, 82.2)     6- 9   
 402 A Napa                   CA    NCLA-W  (10- 7, 90.7)     1- 8   
 406 H Woodcreek              CA    NCLA-E  ( 3- 8, 77.7)    11- 1   
 409 A Elk Grove              CA    NCLA-E  ( 4- 9, 78.6)     7- 8 2o
 413 H Orangevale             CA    NCLA-E  (10- 5, 91.9)     3- 7   
 427 A Pleasant Grove         CA    NCLA-E  (11- 4, 94.8)     4-15   
 430 A Sierra Foothills       CA    NCLA-N  ( 1-13, 76.3)     9- 6   
 501 A Yuba City              CA    NCLA-N  ( 2- 9, 81.1)     7-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Woodcreek              11- 5       6     2    +      3.62
   316 H Pleasant Grove          1-11     -10   -12           0.00
   319 H Sierra Foothills        6- 4       2     6    --    -4.21
   323 H Orangevale              5- 6 2o   -1    -9    +++    8.41
   326 H Elk Grove               8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.91
   401 A Stockton                6- 9      -3    -2          -0.90
   402 A Napa                    1- 8      -7   -10    +      3.00
   406 H Woodcreek              11- 1      10     4    ++     5.21
   409 A Elk Grove               7- 8 2o   -1     1    -     -2.50
   413 H Orangevale              3- 7      -4    -9    ++     5.41
   427 A Pleasant Grove          4-15     -11   -14           0.00
   430 A Sierra Foothills        9- 6       3     3          -0.79
   501 A Yuba City               7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Sierra Foothills        6- 4       2     6    --    -4.21
   326 H Elk Grove               8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.91
   409 A Elk Grove               7- 8 2o   -1     1    -     -2.50
   501 A Yuba City               7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Orangevale              5- 6 2o   -1    -9    +++    8.41
   406 H Woodcreek              11- 1      10     4    ++     5.21
   413 H Orangevale              3- 7      -4    -9    ++     5.41
   312 A Woodcreek              11- 5       6     2    +      3.62
   402 A Napa                    1- 8      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.26 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.60 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/