Region = VA    Dulles           
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Bruce Lipson          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.7421188    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H Heritage-Leesburg      VA    Cedar   ( 5-10, 88.8)    13-12 2o
 317 A Madison                VA    Liberty (10- 8, 90.7)     9-10   
 321 A Loudoun Valley         VA    Cedar   ( 9- 6, 93.8)     9-11   
 328 A Potomac Falls          VA    Dulles  ( 6- 9, 83.4)    16- 0   
 329 A Stone Bridge           VA    Liberty (11- 5, 93.7)     7-10   
 331 A Loudoun County         VA    Dulles  (11- 6, 90.9)    15- 6   
 404 H Dominion HS            VA    Dulles  (10- 9, 90.0)    12- 5   
 407 A Tuscarora              VA    Dulles  ( 1-12, 71.7)    19- 2   
 411 A Broad Run              VA    Dulles  ( 6- 9, 87.7)     9- 5   
 414 H Park View              VA    Dulles  ( 0-11, 67.4)    18- 1   
 425 A Freedom-South Riding   VA    Dulles  ( 8- 7, 86.2)    17- 5   
 428 H Woodgrove              VA    Dulles  (11- 7, 91.0)    13- 5   
 502 H George Mason           VA    Dulles  ( 3-12, 73.3)    21- 1   
 505 A Potomac Falls          VA    Dulles  ( 6- 9, 83.4)    17- 5   
 512 H George Mason           VA    Dulles  ( 3-12, 73.3)    18- 0   
 516 H Woodgrove              VA    Dulles  (11- 7, 91.0)    11- 8   
 518 N Dominion HS            VA    Dulles  (10- 9, 90.0)    10- 8   
 523 H Salem                  VA    RivRdg  (10- 7, 92.5)    13-10   
 525 H Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  ( 7-12, 86.9)    10- 6   
 527 A E.C. Glass             VA    Jeffsn  (18- 2, 99.9)    13-14   
 603 A Albemarle              VA    Comw    (19- 2, 99.9)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Heritage-Leesburg      13-12 2o    1     8          n/a  
   317 A Madison                 9-10      -1     5          n/a  
   321 A Loudoun Valley          9-11      -2     2          n/a  
   328 A Potomac Falls          16- 0      16    12           0.00
   329 A Stone Bridge            7-10      -3     2          n/a  
   331 A Loudoun County         15- 6       9     5    +      3.90
   404 H Dominion HS            12- 5       7     7          -0.76
   407 A Tuscarora              19- 2      17    24           0.00
   411 A Broad Run               9- 5       4     8    --    -4.25
   414 H Park View              18- 1      17    30           0.00
   425 A Freedom-South Riding   17- 5      12     9           0.20
   428 H Woodgrove              13- 5       8     6           1.25
   502 H George Mason           21- 1      20    24           0.00
   505 A Potomac Falls          17- 5      12    12           0.00
   512 H George Mason           18- 0      18    24           0.00
   516 H Woodgrove              11- 8       3     6    -     -3.75
   518 N Dominion HS            10- 8       2     6    --    -4.89
   523 H Salem                  13-10       3     5    -     -2.27
   525 H Western Albemarle      10- 6       4    10    ---   -6.00
   527 A E.C. Glass             13-14      -1    -3    +      2.93
   603 A Albemarle               7- 9      -2    -3          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Heritage-Leesburg      13-12 2o    1     8    ---        
   317 A Madison                 9-10      -1     5    ---        
   525 H Western Albemarle      10- 6       4    10    ---   -6.00
   321 A Loudoun Valley          9-11      -2     2    --         
   329 A Stone Bridge            7-10      -3     2    --         
   411 A Broad Run               9- 5       4     8    --    -4.25
   518 N Dominion HS            10- 8       2     6    --    -4.89
   516 H Woodgrove              11- 8       3     6    -     -3.75
   523 H Salem                  13-10       3     5    -     -2.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Loudoun County         15- 6       9     5    +      3.90
   527 A E.C. Glass             13-14      -1    -3    +      2.93
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.84 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.71 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   32.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.225.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/