Region = NE 1  West             
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Kevan Bowler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.0256500    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 N PineView               FL    GCLL-4  (13- 3, 86.8)    15- 6   
 316 N The Woodlands          TX 1  South   (14- 3, 96.8)    12- 8   
 317 N Austin                 TX 1  Centrl  (15- 5, 94.0)    14- 8   
 330 H Proctor Academy        NE    NNELL   ( 8- 9, 80.7)    20- 2   
 402 H Northfield Mt Hermon   NE 1  West    (10- 7, 87.4)     8- 6   
 406 H Deerfield              NE 1  West    (15- 0, 99.9)     7-15   
 408 A Salisbury School       NE 1  West    (11- 3, 93.6)     5-12   
 409 A South Kent             NE 2  West    ( 9- 4, 91.6)    16- 3   
 413 A Avon Old Farms         NE 1  West-FL (12- 8, 89.2)    12-13   
 416 H Loomis Chaffee         NE 1  West-FL ( 5-10, 83.9)     9- 6   
 420 H Hotchkiss              NE 1  West-FL ( 7- 7, 85.2)     5- 6 2o
 423 H Gunnery School         NE 2  West    ( 8- 7, 93.8)    13- 1   
 427 H Williston Northampton  NE 2  West    ( 4-10, 86.4)    13- 5   
 430 A Trinity-Pawling        NE 1  West-FL ( 4-13, 84.2)     8-13   
 506 A Taft School            NE 1  West-FL ( 6-10, 85.5)     7- 6   
 507 H Choate                 NE 1  West-FL ( 6-10, 84.9)     9- 8  o
 511 H Westminster School     NE 1  West-FL (10- 3, 91.4)    10- 8   
 514 H Suffield Academy       NE 2  West    ( 8- 8, 92.7)    16- 4   
 518 A Millbrook School       NE 2  West    (12- 4, 99.9)    11- 5   
 521 H Brunswick School       NE 1  West    (15- 5, 93.5)    10-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 N PineView               15- 6       9     4          n/a  
   316 N The Woodlands          12- 8       4    -5          n/a  
   317 N Austin                 14- 8       6    -2          n/a  
   330 H Proctor Academy        20- 2      18    11          n/a  
   402 H Northfield Mt Hermon    8- 6       2     4    -     -2.46
   406 H Deerfield               7-15      -8    -8           0.06
   408 A Salisbury School        5-12      -7    -2    --    -4.27
   409 A South Kent             16- 3      13    -1          n/a  
   413 A Avon Old Farms         12-13      -1     1    -     -2.75
   416 H Loomis Chaffee          9- 6       3     7    --    -4.98
   420 H Hotchkiss               5- 6 2o   -1     6    ---   -7.60
   423 H Gunnery School         13- 1      12    -1          n/a  
   427 H Williston Northampton  13- 5       8     5          n/a  
   430 A Trinity-Pawling         8-13      -5     6    ---  -11.71
   506 A Taft School             7- 6       1     5    --    -4.46
   507 H Choate                  9- 8  o    1     6    --    -5.94
   511 H Westminster School     10- 8       2     0           1.52
   514 H Suffield Academy       16- 4      12     0          n/a  
   518 A Millbrook School       11- 5       6    -9          n/a  
   521 H Brunswick School       10-16      -6    -1    --    -4.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Hotchkiss               5- 6 2o   -1     6    ---   -7.60
   430 A Trinity-Pawling         8-13      -5     6    ---  -11.71
   408 A Salisbury School        5-12      -7    -2    --    -4.27
   416 H Loomis Chaffee          9- 6       3     7    --    -4.98
   506 A Taft School             7- 6       1     5    --    -4.46
   507 H Choate                  9- 8  o    1     6    --    -5.94
   521 H Brunswick School       10-16      -6    -1    --    -4.32
   402 H Northfield Mt Hermon    8- 6       2     4    -     -2.46
   413 A Avon Old Farms         12-13      -1     1    -     -2.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 N The Woodlands          12- 8       4    -5    +++        
   317 N Austin                 14- 8       6    -2    +++        
   409 A South Kent             16- 3      13    -1    +++        
   423 H Gunnery School         13- 1      12    -1    +++        
   514 H Suffield Academy       16- 4      12     0    +++        
   518 A Millbrook School       11- 5       6    -9    +++        
   314 N PineView               15- 6       9     4    ++         
   427 H Williston Northampton  13- 5       8     5    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.38 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.50 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/