Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Hornets              Coach  =   Jim May               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.6791077    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT L          (13- 6, 91.7)     3-18   
 408 A Hall-West Hartford     CT L          (12- 5, 85.6)     9-13   
 411 H Old Lyme               CT S          ( 6-10, 73.4)    16- 9   
 414 H Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          ( 7- 9, 76.8)     8- 7 2o
 421 A Guilford               CT M          (10-10, 82.8)     8-10   
 425 A Cheshire HS            CT L          (11-10, 84.4)     7-14   
 427 H West Haven             CT L          ( 5-11, 62.8)    18- 5   
 429 A North Haven            CT M          ( 6-10, 73.8)    11- 8   
 505 H Amity Regional         CT L          ( 6-10, 78.6)    14- 9   
 507 H Old Saybrook           CT S          (10- 8, 74.4)    14-10   
 509 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (10- 9, 84.6)     7-19   
 511 H Fairfield Prep         CT L          (18- 5, 93.4)     6-11   
 513 A Wilbur Cross           CT L          ( 0-16, 55.2)    19- 2   
 516 H Shelton                CT L          ( 8-10, 75.2)    16-11   
 519 H Hamden                 CT L          (12- 6, 80.0)    12- 9   
 521 H Xavier                 CT L          (13- 5, 84.9)     8-10   
 523 A Guilford               CT M          (10-10, 82.8)     5-13   
 601 A Avon HS                CT M          (12- 7, 80.7)    14-13  o
 604 A New Fairfield          CT M          (17- 5, 87.4)     5-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk   3-18     -15   -13           0.00
   408 A Hall-West Hartford      9-13      -4    -7    +      3.48
   411 H Old Lyme               16- 9       7     7          -0.09
   414 H Notre Dame-West Haven   8- 7 2o    1     3    -     -2.67
   421 A Guilford                8-10      -2    -4    +      2.60
   425 A Cheshire HS             7-14      -7    -6          -0.74
   427 H West Haven             18- 5      13    17           0.00
   429 A North Haven            11- 8       3     4          -1.42
   505 H Amity Regional         14- 9       5     1    +      3.15
   507 H Old Saybrook           14-10       4     6    -     -2.05
   509 A Daniel Hand-Madison     7-19     -12    -6    -     -3.53
   511 H Fairfield Prep          6-11      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   513 A Wilbur Cross           19- 2      17    22           0.00
   516 H Shelton                16-11       5     5          -0.29
   519 H Hamden                 12- 9       3     0    +      2.55
   521 H Xavier                  8-10      -2    -4    +      2.40
   523 A Guilford                5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.40
   601 A Avon HS                14-13  o    1    -2    +      3.49
   604 A New Fairfield           5-11      -6    -9    +      3.28

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Notre Dame-West Haven   8- 7 2o    1     3    -     -2.67
   507 H Old Saybrook           14-10       4     6    -     -2.05
   509 A Daniel Hand-Madison     7-19     -12    -6    -     -3.53
   523 A Guilford                5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H Fairfield Prep          6-11      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   408 A Hall-West Hartford      9-13      -4    -7    +      3.48
   421 A Guilford                8-10      -2    -4    +      2.60
   505 H Amity Regional         14- 9       5     1    +      3.15
   519 H Hamden                 12- 9       3     0    +      2.55
   521 H Xavier                  8-10      -2    -4    +      2.40
   601 A Avon HS                14-13  o    1    -2    +      3.49
   604 A New Fairfield           5-11      -6    -9    +      3.28
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.33 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.51 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
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