Birchmount                    7 - 6


 
                                     Region = CN    TDSSAA1          
   Nickname = N Bears                                                 



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   85.7541199    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 N Aurora                 CN    YRAA    ( 8-13, 79.1)     6- 4   
 408 N Malvern Collegiate     CN    TDSSAA1 ( 3- 7, 77.9)     9- 6   
 408 N St Michael's College   CN    CISAA   (26- 4, 94.1)     5- 6   
 429 H East York              CN    TDSSAA1 ( 3- 2, 79.2)     6- 2   
 429 H Humberside             CN    TDSSAA1 ( 4- 3, 78.5)     7- 5   
 503 N Etobicoke              CN    TDSSAA1 ( 2- 4, 73.3)     8- 1   
 509 H Malvern Collegiate     CN    TDSSAA1 ( 3- 7, 77.9)     4- 6   
 520 H Malvern Collegiate     CN    TDSSAA1 ( 3- 7, 77.9)     7- 3   
 527 H East York              CN    TDSSAA1 ( 3- 2, 79.2)    10- 5   
 602 N Notre Dame Burlington  CN    HSSAA   (13- 3, 90.6)     2-11   
 602 N St Joseph's Ottawa     CN AA NCSSAA  (11- 4, 84.7)     6- 8   
 603 N Bracebridge            CN    GBSSAA  ( 8- 6, 78.9)     6- 7   
 603 N South Carleton         CN AA NCSSAA  (11- 5, 83.0)     7- 8   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 N Aurora                  6- 4       2     2          -0.55
   408 N Malvern Collegiate      9- 6       3     3          -0.76
   408 N St Michael's College    5- 6      -1   -12    +++    9.00
   429 H East York               6- 2       4     3           0.91
   429 H Humberside              7- 5       2     3          -1.72
   503 N Etobicoke               8- 1       7     8          -1.35
   509 H Malvern Collegiate      4- 6      -2     4    ---   -6.31
   520 H Malvern Collegiate      7- 3       4     4          -0.31
   527 H East York              10- 5       5     3           1.91
   602 N Notre Dame Burlington   2-11      -9    -8          -0.05
   602 N St Joseph's Ottawa      6- 8      -2    -3           1.00
   603 N Bracebridge             6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.84
   603 N South Carleton          7- 8      -1    -1           0.33


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Malvern Collegiate      4- 6      -2     4    ---   -6.31
   603 N Bracebridge             6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.84


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 N St Michael's College    5- 6      -1   -12    +++    9.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.69 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.76 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    65
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3


  
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