Region = VA 1  VIC              
   Nickname = A Barons               Coach  =   Nic Bell              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.1167908    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 311 N Montgomery Bell Acad   TN 1  East    (12- 5, 96.5)    11-10  o
 312 N Charlotte Latin        NC    NCISAA  (12- 6, 98.1)    10-13   
 318 N Christchurch           VA 2  VIC     (16- 6, 99.9)    20-14   
 322 A Virginia Episcopal     VA 2  VIC     ( 9- 7, 92.7)    18- 5   
 324 A Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 4-10, 83.4)    12- 1   
 326 N CM Wright              MD 43 South   ( 7- 6, 83.9)    18- 6   
 329 H Covenant               VA 2  VIC     (10-12, 87.3)    14- 2   
 402 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad VA 1  Tidewtr (11- 6, 93.7)    13- 6   
 405 H North Cross            VA 2  VIC     ( 8- 6, 90.2)    15- 3   
 408 H Cape Henry Collegiate  VA 1  Tidewtr (14- 6, 96.3)     8- 7 2o
 413 A Highland School        VA 2  Delaney (13- 4, 96.1)    16- 8   
 414 H Hargrave Military Acad VA 1  VIC     ( 2-12, 71.1)    24- 1   
 420 A St Anne's-Belfield     VA 1  VIP     ( 9- 9, 92.7)    15-16  o
 428 H John Paul Great Cath   VA 1  Indep   ( 8- 7, 81.6)    16- 8   
 501 A Williamsburg LC        VA    Indep   (15- 5, 98.6)    12- 9   
 503 A Fork Union Mil Academy VA 1  Tidewtr ( 6- 6, 79.6)    18- 2   
 510 H North Cross            VA 2  VIC     ( 8- 6, 90.2)    14- 2   
 511 A Middleburg Academy     MD    MILL    (10- 9, 90.2)    10-12   
 514 H Virginia Episcopal     VA 2  VIC     ( 9- 7, 92.7)    19- 2   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 N Montgomery Bell Acad   11-10  o    1     3          n/a  
   312 N Charlotte Latin        10-13      -3     1          n/a  
   318 N Christchurch           20-14       6     0          n/a  
   322 A Virginia Episcopal     18- 5      13     6          n/a  
   324 A Monticello             12- 1      11    16          n/a  
   326 N CM Wright              18- 6      12    16          n/a  
   329 H Covenant               14- 2      12    13          n/a  
   402 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad 13- 6       7     6           0.77
   405 H North Cross            15- 3      12    10          n/a  
   408 H Cape Henry Collegiate   8- 7 2o    1     3    -     -2.65
   413 A Highland School        16- 8       8     3          n/a  
   414 H Hargrave Military Acad 24- 1      23    28           0.00
   420 A St Anne's-Belfield     15-16  o   -1     7    ---   -8.18
   428 H John Paul Great Cath   16- 8       8    18    -     -2.00
   501 A Williamsburg LC        12- 9       3     1          n/a  
   503 A Fork Union Mil Academy 18- 2      16    20           0.00
   510 H North Cross            14- 2      12    10          n/a  
   511 A Middleburg Academy     10-12      -2     8          n/a  
   514 H Virginia Episcopal     19- 2      17     7          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A St Anne's-Belfield     15-16  o   -1     7    ---   -8.18
   511 A Middleburg Academy     10-12      -2     8    ---        
   312 N Charlotte Latin        10-13      -3     1    --         
   311 N Montgomery Bell Acad   11-10  o    1     3    -          
   408 H Cape Henry Collegiate   8- 7 2o    1     3    -     -2.65
   428 H John Paul Great Cath   16- 8       8    18    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 N Christchurch           20-14       6     0    ++         
   413 A Highland School        16- 8       8     3    ++         
   322 A Virginia Episcopal     18- 5      13     6    +          
   514 H Virginia Episcopal     19- 2      17     7    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.31 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .   11.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    9.0
/