Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Scott Faulkner        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.4272919    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Chenango Forks         NY C  Sec 4   (13- 6, 81.8)     9- 5   
 328 A Chenango Valley        NY C  Sec 4   ( 9- 9, 80.7)     9- 6   
 330 A Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   (12- 5, 90.0)     5-19   
 405 H Seton Catholic Central NY C  Sec 4   (11- 6, 80.9)     7- 2   
 408 H Owego Free Academy     NY C  Sec 4   ( 9- 9, 78.4)    10- 3   
 415 A Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (14- 3, 92.6)     5-13   
 418 H Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 1-14, 71.5)     9- 5   
 421 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (18- 2, 99.9)     2-13   
 423 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 94.0)     5-12   
 427 A Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (12- 6, 85.3)     7- 5   
 429 H Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 4-14, 73.1)    10- 2   
 506 A Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 1-14, 71.5)    14- 8   
 509 H Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (12- 6, 85.3)     9-10  o
 511 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (18- 2, 99.9)     7-18   
 512 H Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (14- 3, 92.6)     0-14   
 513 A Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 4-14, 73.1)     5- 0   
 520 A Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (14- 3, 92.6)     2-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Chenango Forks          9- 5       4     2           1.68
   328 A Chenango Valley         9- 6       3     0    +      2.62
   330 A Corcoran                5-19     -14    -8          n/a  
   405 H Seton Catholic Central  7- 2       5     3           1.74
   408 H Owego Free Academy     10- 3       7     5           1.30
   415 A Corning                 5-13      -8   -11    +      2.00
   418 H Horseheads              9- 5       4    12    ---   -6.00
   421 A Ithaca                  2-13     -11   -18           0.00
   423 A Penfield                5-12      -7   -12          n/a  
   427 A Vestal                  7- 5       2    -4    +++    6.21
   429 H Union-Endicott         10- 2       8    11    -     -2.00
   506 A Horseheads             14- 8       6     9    -     -3.56
   509 H Vestal                  9-10  o   -1    -1           0.15
   511 H Ithaca                  7-18     -11   -15           0.00
   512 H Corning                 0-14     -14    -8          -1.58
   513 A Union-Endicott          5- 0       5     8    -     -3.00
   520 A Corning                 2-14     -12   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Horseheads              9- 5       4    12    ---   -6.00
   429 H Union-Endicott         10- 2       8    11    -     -2.00
   506 A Horseheads             14- 8       6     9    -     -3.56
   513 A Union-Endicott          5- 0       5     8    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Vestal                  7- 5       2    -4    +++    6.21
   328 A Chenango Valley         9- 6       3     0    +      2.62
   415 A Corning                 5-13      -8   -11    +      2.00
   423 A Penfield                5-12      -7   -12    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.61 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.87 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.0
/