Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   John Distler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.6029053    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 H Simsbury               CT L          (15- 5, 89.0)     7- 4   
 414 H Masuk-Monroe           CT M          (10- 8, 78.5)    14- 2   
 416 H Bunnell-Stratford      CT M          ( 3-13, 64.9)    18- 1   
 418 A Stratford              CT S          ( 0-16, 56.5)    19- 0   
 419 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (10- 9, 84.6)     8- 4   
 421 H Bethel                 CT S          ( 5-11, 71.6)    16- 3   
 427 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 1-15, 61.0)    18- 0   
 429 A Immaculate Danbury     CT S          ( 3-13, 67.5)    15- 4   
 502 H Weston                 CT S          (11- 7, 85.7)     8- 3   
 504 A Wilton                 CT M          (16- 6, 95.4)     7-11   
 505 A Newtown                CT L          (18- 3, 90.7)     5- 9   
 507 A Guilford               CT M          (10-10, 82.8)    10-11  o
 510 A New Milford            CT L          ( 8-10, 78.1)     9- 7   
 512 A Pomperaug              CT M          ( 6-11, 71.3)    14- 1   
 518 A New Fairfield          CT M          (17- 5, 87.4)    17- 7   
 519 A Brookfield             CT M          ( 8-10, 74.6)    11- 2   
 523 H Brookfield             CT M          ( 8-10, 74.6)    16- 4   
 525 N New Fairfield          CT M          (17- 5, 87.4)     8-10   
 604 H Ellington              CT S          ( 9- 9, 73.7)    17- 4   
 608 N Stonington             CT S          (17- 3, 84.6)    13- 7   
 611 N St Joseph-Trumbull     CT S          (12- 8, 88.0)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Simsbury                7- 4       3     0    +      2.14
   414 H Masuk-Monroe           14- 2      12    11           0.00
   416 H Bunnell-Stratford      18- 1      17    24           0.00
   418 A Stratford              19- 0      19    31           0.00
   419 A Daniel Hand-Madison     8- 4       4     2           1.13
   421 H Bethel                 16- 3      13    18           0.00
   427 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   18- 0      18    28           0.00
   429 A Immaculate Danbury     15- 4      11    20           0.00
   502 H Weston                  8- 3       5     4           0.85
   504 A Wilton                  7-11      -4    -7    +      3.93
   505 A Newtown                 5- 9      -4    -3          -0.86
   507 A Guilford               10-11  o   -1     4    --    -5.74
   510 A New Milford             9- 7       2     9    ---   -7.43
   512 A Pomperaug              14- 1      13    16           0.00
   518 A New Fairfield          17- 7      10     0    +++    9.93
   519 A Brookfield             11- 2       9    12          -1.00
   523 H Brookfield             16- 4      12    15           0.00
   525 N New Fairfield           8-10      -2     1    -     -3.23
   604 H Ellington              17- 4      13    16           0.00
   608 N Stonington             13- 7       6     4           1.94
   611 N St Joseph-Trumbull      5- 6      -1     0          -1.64

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A New Milford             9- 7       2     9    ---   -7.43
   507 A Guilford               10-11  o   -1     4    --    -5.74
   525 N New Fairfield           8-10      -2     1    -     -3.23

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 A New Fairfield          17- 7      10     0    +++    9.93
   406 H Simsbury                7- 4       3     0    +      2.14
   504 A Wilton                  7-11      -4    -7    +      3.93
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.68 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.28 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/