Conf =  Sec3                      Region = MN 1  SoSub            
   Nickname = N Lightning            Coach  =   Tim Roche             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.3433380    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 412 A Minnetonka             MN 1  Lake    (12- 4, 95.1)     5- 9   
 415 A Wayzata                MN 1  Lake    ( 5- 9, 85.3)     7-14   
 421 A Apple Valley           MN 1  SoSub   (10- 5, 88.0)    13- 9   
 427 H Bloom Jefferson        MN 1  SoSub   ( 5-10, 83.8)    10- 3   
 429 A Bloom Kennedy          MN 1  SoSub   ( 1-13, 73.7)    14- 5   
 503 H Rosemount              MN 1  SoSub   (13- 2, 93.9)     6-15   
 506 H Eagan                  MN 1  SoSub   (13- 3, 92.9)    12- 9   
 510 H Lakeville North        MN 1  SoSub   ( 6- 8, 83.9)     6- 5   
 512 H Lakeville South        MN 1  SoSub   ( 4- 9, 79.3)    14- 5   
 514 H Blake                  MN 1  Indep   (13- 3, 97.5)     6-10   
 517 A Burnsville             MN 1  SoSub   (11- 7, 89.4)     9-10   
 519 H Eden Prairie           MN 1  Lake    (15- 3, 97.4)     4-10   
 520 A Prior Lake             MN 1  SoSub   ( 8- 7, 87.2)    14- 8   
 527 H Lakeville North        MN 1  SoSub   ( 6- 8, 83.9)     8- 6   
 601 H Eagan                  MN 1  SoSub   (13- 3, 92.9)     8- 9  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Minnetonka              5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.68
   415 A Wayzata                 7-14      -7     2    ---   -9.17
   421 A Apple Valley           13- 9       4     0    ++     4.60
   427 H Bloom Jefferson        10- 3       7     5           1.67
   429 A Bloom Kennedy          14- 5       9    13          -1.00
   503 H Rosemount               6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.21
   506 H Eagan                  12- 9       3    -3    +++    6.75
   510 H Lakeville North         6- 5       1     5    --    -4.25
   512 H Lakeville South        14- 5       9     9          -0.88
   514 H Blake                   6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.37
   517 A Burnsville              9-10      -1    -1           0.93
   519 H Eden Prairie            4-10      -6    -8    +      2.26
   520 A Prior Lake             14- 8       6     0    ++     5.79
   527 H Lakeville North         8- 6       2     5    -     -3.25
   601 H Eagan                   8- 9  o   -1    -3    +      2.75

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Wayzata                 7-14      -7     2    ---   -9.17
   503 H Rosemount               6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.21
   510 H Lakeville North         6- 5       1     5    --    -4.25
   527 H Lakeville North         8- 6       2     5    -     -3.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Eagan                  12- 9       3    -3    +++    6.75
   421 A Apple Valley           13- 9       4     0    ++     4.60
   514 H Blake                   6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.37
   520 A Prior Lake             14- 8       6     0    ++     5.79
   412 A Minnetonka              5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.68
   519 H Eden Prairie            4-10      -6    -8    +      2.26
   601 H Eagan                   8- 9  o   -1    -3    +      2.75
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.28 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.96 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/