Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Golden Warrior       Coach  =   Wayne Puglisi         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.6837616    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Danvers                MA 2          ( 7-11, 76.2)    15- 3   
 408 A Chelmsford             MA 1          ( 9-11, 81.5)     8- 2   
 411 H Londonderry            NH 1          ( 8- 8, 85.8)    10- 5   
 413 H Lowell                 MA 1          ( 7-10, 77.1)    11- 3   
 415 H Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          ( 1-16, 69.9)    14- 1   
 419 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1          (12- 9, 90.0)    12-11   
 421 N Concord Carlisle       MA 2          (20- 2, 93.8)     4-11   
 423 N Dover-Sherborn         MA 3          (19- 3, 93.1)     3-14   
 426 H Haverhill              MA 1          ( 5-12, 75.7)     9- 2   
 429 H Billerica              MA 1          (20- 3, 97.8)     8-16   
 503 H Central Catholic       MA 1          ( 4-14, 73.6)    19- 1   
 506 H Chelmsford             MA 1          ( 9-11, 81.5)    14- 5   
 510 A Dracut                 MA 2          ( 8-11, 76.9)     7- 5   
 514 A Waltham                MA 1          ( 8-10, 82.2)     7- 4   
 516 H Masconomet             MA 1          (18- 2, 91.7)     9-10   
 520 N Billerica              MA 1          (20- 3, 97.8)     2-12   
 523 A Lexington              MA 1          (15- 6, 89.5)     6- 9   
 525 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1          (12- 9, 90.0)     8- 9   
 602 H Bridgewater-Raynham    MA 1          (14- 5, 83.1)     8- 5   
 604 A Billerica              MA 1          (20- 3, 97.8)     4-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Danvers                15- 3      12    11           0.00
   408 A Chelmsford              8- 2       6     4           1.39
   411 H Londonderry            10- 5       5     1          n/a  
   413 H Lowell                 11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00
   415 H Tewksbury Memorial     14- 1      13    17           0.00
   419 A Lincoln-Sudbury        12-11       1    -3    ++     4.90
   421 N Concord Carlisle        4-11      -7    -6          -0.14
   423 N Dover-Sherborn          3-14     -11    -6    -     -3.85
   426 H Haverhill               9- 2       7    12    -     -3.00
   429 H Billerica               8-16      -8   -10    +      2.00
   503 H Central Catholic       19- 1      18    14           0.00
   506 H Chelmsford             14- 5       9     6    +      2.73
   510 A Dracut                  7- 5       2     9    ---   -7.17
   514 A Waltham                 7- 4       3     3          -0.86
   516 H Masconomet              9-10      -1    -3    +      2.97
   520 N Billerica               2-12     -10   -10           0.00
   523 A Lexington               6- 9      -3    -3           0.40
   525 A Lincoln-Sudbury         8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.90
   602 H Bridgewater-Raynham     8- 5       3     4          -1.70
   604 A Billerica               4-15     -11   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Dracut                  7- 5       2     9    ---   -7.17
   413 H Lowell                 11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00
   423 N Dover-Sherborn          3-14     -11    -6    -     -3.85
   426 H Haverhill               9- 2       7    12    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Lincoln-Sudbury        12-11       1    -3    ++     4.90
   411 H Londonderry            10- 5       5     1    +          
   429 H Billerica               8-16      -8   -10    +      2.00
   506 H Chelmsford             14- 5       9     6    +      2.73
   516 H Masconomet              9-10      -1    -3    +      2.97
   525 A Lincoln-Sudbury         8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.90
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.94 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.37 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
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