Region = VA    Comw             
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Pat McAdams           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.6257782    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 H Stafford               VA    Comw    ( 1-13, 73.0)    19- 2   
 318 A Colonial Forge         VA    Comw    ( 8- 8, 87.0)     8- 3   
 322 H St Christopher's       VA 1  VIP     (13- 8, 94.3)     9- 8   
 330 H Mountain View          VA    Comw    ( 6- 9, 85.4)    11- 3   
 401 A Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 4-10, 83.4)    15- 4   
 412 H Osbourn Park           VA    Card    (12- 7, 89.5)    11- 4   
 414 H Brooke Point           VA    Comw    ( 9- 7, 89.9)     7- 5   
 418 A North Stafford         VA    Comw    ( 8- 9, 86.8)    11- 5   
 420 A Stafford               VA    Comw    ( 1-13, 73.0)    16- 2   
 427 H North Stafford         VA    Comw    ( 8- 9, 86.8)    13- 1   
 429 H Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  ( 7-12, 86.9)     4- 3   
 505 A Mountain View          VA    Comw    ( 6- 9, 85.4)    13- 1   
 509 H Colonial Forge         VA    Comw    ( 8- 8, 87.0)    15- 3   
 511 A Brooke Point           VA    Comw    ( 9- 7, 89.9)     9- 8 2o
 516 H Colonial Forge         VA    Comw    ( 8- 8, 87.0)    15- 3   
 518 H North Stafford         VA    Comw    ( 8- 9, 86.8)     8- 2   
 523 H Woodbridge             VA    Card    ( 5- 9, 80.7)    30- 3   
 525 A Patrick Henry Roanoke  VA    WesVal  (15- 4, 98.0)    12-10   
 527 A Battlefield            VA    Cedar   (16- 3, 98.9)     5- 8   
 603 H Briar Woods            VA    Dulles  (16- 5, 96.8)     9- 7   
 608 N Chantilly              VA    Concord (21- 2, 99.9)     7-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Stafford               19- 2      17    26           0.00
   318 A Colonial Forge          8- 3       5    12    --    -5.00
   322 H St Christopher's        9- 8       1     5          n/a  
   330 H Mountain View          11- 3       8    14    -     -2.00
   401 A Monticello             15- 4      11    16          n/a  
   412 H Osbourn Park           11- 4       7    10    -     -3.00
   414 H Brooke Point            7- 5       2    10    ---   -8.00
   418 A North Stafford         11- 5       6    13    --    -4.00
   420 A Stafford               16- 2      14    26           0.00
   427 H North Stafford         13- 1      12    13           0.00
   429 H Western Albemarle       4- 3       1    13          n/a  
   505 A Mountain View          13- 1      12    14           0.00
   509 H Colonial Forge         15- 3      12    12           0.00
   511 A Brooke Point            9- 8 2o    1     9    ---   -8.91
   516 H Colonial Forge         15- 3      12    12           0.00
   518 H North Stafford          8- 2       6    13    --    -4.00
   523 H Woodbridge             30- 3      27    19           0.00
   525 A Patrick Henry Roanoke  12-10       2     1           0.15
   527 A Battlefield             5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.93
   603 H Briar Woods             9- 7       2     3          n/a  
   608 N Chantilly               7-11      -4     0          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Brooke Point            7- 5       2    10    ---   -8.00
   429 H Western Albemarle       4- 3       1    13    ---        
   511 A Brooke Point            9- 8 2o    1     9    ---   -8.91
   318 A Colonial Forge          8- 3       5    12    --    -5.00
   322 H St Christopher's        9- 8       1     5    --         
   418 A North Stafford         11- 5       6    13    --    -4.00
   518 H North Stafford          8- 2       6    13    --    -4.00
   608 N Chantilly               7-11      -4     0    --         
   330 H Mountain View          11- 3       8    14    -     -2.00
   412 H Osbourn Park           11- 4       7    10    -     -3.00
   527 A Battlefield             5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.38 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   30.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.265.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 19- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 10- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 15- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    8.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/