Region = VA    Nationl          
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Greg Beer             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.4269333    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 4-15, 81.2)     8-11   
 318 A McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 1-12, 73.2)     6- 1   
 322 H Edison                 VA    Nationl ( 6- 9, 78.9)    11- 2   
 324 H Chantilly              VA    Concord (11- 5, 96.4)     3-10   
 328 N Christian Bros         MO    Div-1   (16- 4, 97.7)     7-14   
 330 A Lake Mary              FL 4B Centrl  (13- 5, 89.8)     3- 9   
 407 H Marshall               VA    Liberty ( 1-11, 68.2)    12- 1   
 409 A Washington-Lee         VA    Nationl (11- 6, 84.7)     8- 5   
 413 A Westfield              VA    Concord (12- 5, 95.6)     4-15   
 415 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Nationl ( 2-10, 70.5)     7- 3   
 419 H Falls Church           VA    Nationl ( 3- 9, 73.6)    13- 3   
 427 A Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl ( 9- 8, 81.8)     7- 8  o
 429 H Hayfield               VA    Nationl ( 4- 8, 78.7)    10- 2   
 430 A Wakefield HS           VA    Nationl ( 0-13, 62.3)    11- 0   
 506 H Falls Church           VA    Nationl ( 3- 9, 73.6)    10- 6   
 510 A Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl ( 9- 8, 81.8)     8- 4   
 515 H Washington-Lee         VA    Nationl (11- 6, 84.7)     8-14   
 518 H Stone Bridge           VA    Liberty (10- 5, 93.7)     7-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Bishop O'Connell        8-11      -3     3          n/a  
   318 A McLean                  6- 1       5     9    --    -4.56
   322 H Edison                 11- 2       9     5    +      3.13
   324 H Chantilly               3-10      -7   -11    +      3.00
   328 N Christian Bros          7-14      -7   -13          n/a  
   330 A Lake Mary               3- 9      -6    -6          n/a  
   407 H Marshall               12- 1      11    16           0.00
   409 A Washington-Lee          8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.96
   413 A Westfield               4-15     -11   -12           0.00
   415 A J.E.B. Stuart           7- 3       4    12    ---   -6.00
   419 H Falls Church           13- 3      10    11           0.00
   427 A Mount Vernon            7- 8  o   -1     0          -1.95
   429 H Hayfield               10- 2       8     5    +      2.01
   430 A Wakefield HS           11- 0      11    20           0.00
   506 H Falls Church           10- 6       4    11    ---   -6.00
   510 A Mount Vernon            8- 4       4     0    +      3.05
   515 H Washington-Lee          8-14      -6     0    ---   -6.04
   518 H Stone Bridge            7-15      -8    -8           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Bishop O'Connell        8-11      -3     3    ---        
   415 A J.E.B. Stuart           7- 3       4    12    ---   -6.00
   506 H Falls Church           10- 6       4    11    ---   -6.00
   515 H Washington-Lee          8-14      -6     0    ---   -6.04
   318 A McLean                  6- 1       5     9    --    -4.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Washington-Lee          8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.96
   322 H Edison                 11- 2       9     5    +      3.13
   324 H Chantilly               3-10      -7   -11    +      3.00
   328 N Christian Bros          7-14      -7   -13    +          
   429 H Hayfield               10- 2       8     5    +      2.01
   510 A Mount Vernon            8- 4       4     0    +      3.05
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.74 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.60 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/