Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Basile          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.7335358    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Newington              CT L          ( 9- 9, 78.5)     9- 3   
 410 H Northwest Catholic     CT S          (10- 9, 84.7)     5- 3   
 412 A Amity Regional         CT L          ( 9-10, 83.0)     7- 3   
 415 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (11- 9, 87.4)     7- 6   
 420 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (17- 6, 95.4)     2-14   
 423 H Cheshire HS            CT L          (21- 2, 99.4)     6-19   
 426 A Hamden                 CT L          ( 8-11, 78.2)    10- 4   
 429 H Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          ( 9- 9, 81.2)    12- 4   
 504 H North Haven            CT M          ( 7-10, 76.4)    11- 5   
 506 A Branford               CT M          ( 5-11, 77.8)    12- 2   
 510 A West Haven             CT L          ( 3-13, 65.4)    15- 0   
 513 A Guilford               CT M          (13- 7, 87.2)     4- 5   
 515 A Simsbury               CT L          (13- 7, 90.2)     2- 9   
 517 H Shelton                CT L          ( 4-12, 71.9)    10- 1   
 518 A Brookfield             CT M          (11- 7, 84.9)     7- 8   
 521 A Southington            CT L          ( 9- 8, 85.3)     7- 3   
 524 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (11- 9, 87.4)     9-10  o
 603 H New Milford            CT L          (10- 8, 83.9)    14- 6   
 605 A Glastonbury            CT L          (15- 6, 92.4)     5-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Newington               9- 3       6     7          -1.40
   410 H Northwest Catholic      5- 3       2     3          -1.06
   412 A Amity Regional          7- 3       4     2           1.00
   415 H Daniel Hand-Madison     7- 6       1     0           0.62
   420 A Fairfield Prep          2-14     -12    -9          -0.59
   423 H Cheshire HS             6-19     -13   -11           0.00
   426 A Hamden                 10- 4       6     7          -1.79
   429 H Notre Dame-West Haven  12- 4       8     6           1.36
   504 H North Haven            11- 5       6    11    --    -4.00
   506 A Branford               12- 2      10     8           1.84
   510 A West Haven             15- 0      15    20           0.00
   513 A Guilford                4- 5      -1    -1           0.26
   515 A Simsbury                2- 9      -7    -4    -     -2.74
   517 H Shelton                10- 1       9    15          -1.00
   518 A Brookfield              7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.04
   521 A Southington             7- 3       4     0    +      3.33
   524 H Daniel Hand-Madison     9-10  o   -1     0          -1.38
   603 H New Milford            14- 6       8     3    ++     4.12
   605 A Glastonbury             5-12      -7    -6          -0.52

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H North Haven            11- 5       6    11    --    -4.00
   515 A Simsbury                2- 9      -7    -4    -     -2.74
   518 A Brookfield              7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   603 H New Milford            14- 6       8     3    ++     4.12
   521 A Southington             7- 3       4     0    +      3.33
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.88 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.18 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    80
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/