Region = PA    LL01             
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Chris Schmehl         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.1612091    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    LL01    ( 4-14, 76.7)    19- 6   
 331 A Penn Manor             PA    LL01    ( 9- 9, 88.3)    10- 7   
 403 H Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (15- 6, 89.6)     6- 5   
 407 H Manheim Township       PA    LL01    (22- 5, 99.8)     2- 7   
 409 A Hempfield              PA    LL01    (23- 2, 99.9)     5-10   
 410 A Wilson West Lawn       PA    Berks   (12- 7, 86.4)     3- 4   
 414 H Elizabethtown          PA    LL02    (15- 9, 88.1)     9- 3   
 416 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL02    ( 3-14, 77.3)    12- 3   
 417 A Garden Spot            PA    LL02    ( 0-18, 64.6)    19- 0   
 420 H Ephrata                PA    LL02    (15- 6, 94.0)    12- 5   
 422 A Cocalico               PA    LL02    ( 5-12, 78.9)    10- 2   
 424 A Easton                 PA    LehighV ( 8- 9, 81.4)     3- 5   
 427 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL02    (11- 7, 86.1)     6- 2   
 428 H Lancaster Cou Day      PA    LL01    ( 4-14, 76.7)    15- 1   
 430 H Hershey                PA    Mid 1   ( 6-12, 80.3)    16- 3   
 503 H Penn Manor             PA    LL01    ( 9- 9, 88.3)     6- 1   
 507 A Manheim Township       PA    LL01    (22- 5, 99.8)     2-10   
 510 H Hempfield              PA    LL01    (23- 2, 99.9)     4- 6   
 518 A Hempfield              PA    LL01    (23- 2, 99.9)     5- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Lancaster Cou Day      19- 6      13    14           0.00
   331 A Penn Manor             10- 7       3     3          -0.20
   403 H Carlisle                6- 5       1     3    -     -2.48
   407 H Manheim Township        2- 7      -5    -6           1.70
   409 A Hempfield               5-10      -5    -8    +      3.39
   410 A Wilson West Lawn        3- 4      -1     5    ---   -6.12
   414 H Elizabethtown           9- 3       6     4           1.06
   416 A Lampeter-Strasburg     12- 3       9    14          -1.00
   417 A Garden Spot            19- 0      19    26           0.00
   420 H Ephrata                12- 5       7     0    +++    7.92
   422 A Cocalico               10- 2       8    12    -     -2.00
   424 A Easton                  3- 5      -2    10          n/a  
   427 H Conestoga Valley        6- 2       4     7    -     -3.04
   428 H Lancaster Cou Day      15- 1      14    16           0.00
   430 H Hershey                16- 3      13    12           0.00
   503 H Penn Manor              6- 1       5     4           0.22
   507 A Manheim Township        2-10      -8    -8           0.28
   510 H Hempfield               4- 6      -2    -6    ++     4.81
   518 A Hempfield               5- 7      -2    -8    +++    6.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Wilson West Lawn        3- 4      -1     5    ---   -6.12
   424 A Easton                  3- 5      -2    10    ---        
   403 H Carlisle                6- 5       1     3    -     -2.48
   422 A Cocalico               10- 2       8    12    -     -2.00
   427 H Conestoga Valley        6- 2       4     7    -     -3.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Ephrata                12- 5       7     0    +++    7.92
   518 A Hempfield               5- 7      -2    -8    +++    6.39
   510 H Hempfield               4- 6      -2    -6    ++     4.81
   409 A Hempfield               5-10      -5    -8    +      3.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.30 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.61 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/