Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Wildcats             Coach  =   Bob Howell            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.3659897    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.2)     3-11   
 403 A Islip                  NY B  Sec 11  (10- 8, 82.4)    12- 9   
 407 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 85.5)    10-12   
 409 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 92.3)     5- 8   
 413 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 81.0)    11- 7   
 415 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 94.7)    11-10   
 417 H Harborfields           NY B  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 81.2)    14-11   
 419 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 73.8)    17- 8   
 421 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.2)     7-12   
 423 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 79.2)    13-10   
 427 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 87.2)    16- 6   
 429 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 71.9)    15- 3   
 505 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.8)     6-19   
 507 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 79.1)    14- 5   
 511 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.9)     7-18   
 513 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 80.4)    13- 5   
 520 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 85.5)    13-12   
 525 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.9)     4-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Smithtown West          3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.63
   403 A Islip                  12- 9       3     3          -0.46
   407 A William Floyd          10-12      -2     0    -     -2.38
   409 H Connetquot              5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.41
   413 A Northport              11- 7       4     4          -0.84
   415 H Ward Melville          11-10       1    -7    +++    8.81
   417 H Harborfields           14-11       3     5    -     -2.71
   419 H Longwood               17- 8       9    13          -1.00
   421 A Sachem North            7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.67
   423 H Middle Country         13-10       3     7    --    -4.69
   427 H Smithtown East         16- 6      10     0    +++   10.31
   429 H Riverhead              15- 3      12    15           0.00
   505 A East Islip              6-19     -13    -6    -     -3.99
   507 H Patchogue-Medford      14- 5       9     7           1.18
   511 A West Islip              7-18     -11   -14           0.00
   513 A Bay Shore              13- 5       8     5    +      2.56
   520 A William Floyd          13-12       1     0           0.62
   525 A West Islip              4-16     -12   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Middle Country         13-10       3     7    --    -4.69
   326 A Smithtown West          3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.63
   407 A William Floyd          10-12      -2     0    -     -2.38
   417 H Harborfields           14-11       3     5    -     -2.71
   421 A Sachem North            7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.67
   505 A East Islip              6-19     -13    -6    -     -3.99

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Ward Melville          11-10       1    -7    +++    8.81
   427 H Smithtown East         16- 6      10     0    +++   10.31
   409 H Connetquot              5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.41
   513 A Bay Shore              13- 5       8     5    +      2.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.38 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.34 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/