Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Desmond Megna         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9645767    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 92.3)     3-10   
 329 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 71.0)    14- 6   
 331 A Eastport/South Manor   NY B  Sec 11  (12- 5, 88.3)     5-13   
 407 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.4)    12-10   
 413 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.8)    10-16   
 415 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 71.9)     9- 6   
 417 N New Fairfield          CT M          (19- 3, 93.8)    14- 6   
 419 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.2)     7-10   
 421 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 79.1)    12- 5   
 423 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.9)     9-14   
 427 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 79.2)    12- 6   
 505 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 80.4)    12- 8   
 507 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 94.7)    10-18   
 511 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 73.8)    14- 6   
 513 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.2)    13- 8   
 517 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 64.9)    15- 7   
 520 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.4)    12-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Connetquot              3-10      -7    -7           0.43
   329 A Copiague               14- 6       8    13    -     -2.00
   331 A Eastport/South Manor    5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.63
   407 H Walt Whitman           12-10       2     0    +      2.38
   413 H East Islip             10-16      -6    -5          -0.17
   415 A Riverhead               9- 6       3    13    ---   -7.00
   417 N New Fairfield          14- 6       8    -8          n/a  
   419 H Smithtown West          7-10      -3    -5    +      2.20
   421 A Patchogue-Medford      12- 5       7     5           1.20
   423 A West Islip              9-14      -5   -14    ++     5.00
   427 A Middle Country         12- 6       6     5           0.32
   505 H Bay Shore              12- 8       4     5          -1.61
   507 H Ward Melville          10-18      -8    -8           0.73
   511 H Longwood               14- 6       8    12    -     -2.00
   513 H Sachem North           13- 8       5    -2    +++    7.16
   517 A Brentwood              15- 7       8    19    -     -2.00
   520 H Walt Whitman           12-13      -1     0          -0.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Riverhead               9- 6       3    13    ---   -7.00
   331 A Eastport/South Manor    5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.63
   329 A Copiague               14- 6       8    13    -     -2.00
   511 H Longwood               14- 6       8    12    -     -2.00
   517 A Brentwood              15- 7       8    19    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 N New Fairfield          14- 6       8    -8    +++        
   513 H Sachem North           13- 8       5    -2    +++    7.16
   423 A West Islip              9-14      -5   -14    ++     5.00
   407 H Walt Whitman           12-10       2     0    +      2.38
   419 H Smithtown West          7-10      -3    -5    +      2.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.45 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.81 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    46
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/