Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Ed Greenway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.5240250    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   (10- 6, 85.5)     2- 8   
 325 A Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   ( 4-14, 78.0)     5- 4  o
 401 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (12- 6, 89.6)     4- 9   
 406 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 91.8)     5-12   
 408 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-12, 76.0)     8- 5   
 413 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 81.7)     4- 5  o
 427 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 85.7)     4-11   
 429 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 84.7)     4-14   
 504 A Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 77.8)     7- 6   
 506 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-14, 75.3)     5- 2   
 508 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 86.9)     1-16   
 511 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 90.7)     7-13   
 513 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 84.2)     8- 6   
 518 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 3, 97.8)     2-16   
 520 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 89.4)     1- 8   
 521 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 4, 93.2)     1-16   
 525 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 84.2)     3- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Nichols                 2- 8      -6    -7           1.42
   325 A Canisius                5- 4  o    1     0           0.93
   401 A Lancaster               4- 9      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   406 A Amherst                 5-12      -7   -13    +      3.00
   408 H Williamsville South     8- 5       3     3          -0.11
   413 A Grand Island            4- 5  o   -1    -3    +      2.61
   427 H West Seneca East        4-11      -7    -6          -0.38
   429 A Williamsville North     4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.39
   504 A Lake Shore Central      7- 6       1     0           0.64
   506 A West Seneca West        5- 2       3     2           0.17
   508 H Rush-Henrietta          1-16     -15    -7          n/a  
   511 A Niagara Wheatfield      7-13      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   513 H Sweet Home              8- 6       2    -5    +++    7.12
   518 H Hamburg                 2-16     -14   -18           0.00
   520 H Iroquois                1- 8      -7   -10    +      3.00
   521 A Clarence                1-16     -15   -15           0.00
   525 A Sweet Home              3- 9      -6    -6           0.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Williamsville North     4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.39
   508 H Rush-Henrietta          1-16     -15    -7    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Sweet Home              8- 6       2    -5    +++    7.12
   401 A Lancaster               4- 9      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   511 A Niagara Wheatfield      7-13      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   406 A Amherst                 5-12      -7   -13    +      3.00
   413 A Grand Island            4- 5  o   -1    -3    +      2.61
   520 H Iroquois                1- 8      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.62 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.18 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.3
/