Region = PA    Div2-S1          
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Bruce Atkinson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.0095596    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 414 H Trinity                PA    Div2-S1 ( 4- 8, 74.0)     7- 6   
 419 H Taylor Allderdice      PA    Div2-S2 ( 4- 9, 71.8)     7- 3   
 421 A Quaker Valley          PA    Div2-S1 ( 7- 7, 76.2)     4- 5   
 424 A University             WV    WVSLA   (11- 7, 97.6)     3-12   
 427 A Chartiers Valley       PA    Div2-S1 (11- 7, 86.3)     4-16   
 428 A Canon-McMillan         PA    Div2-S1 ( 2-14, 70.1)     4- 3   
 503 A Knoch                  PA    Indep   ( 1- 5, 72.6)    10- 9  o
 505 H Seton LaSalle          PA    Div2-S1 ( 1-12, 65.9)    11- 3   
 508 H Norwin                 PA    Div2-S2 ( 4-12, 69.7)     7- 4   
 512 A Greensburg Cath Cent   PA    Div2-S1 (14- 5, 90.7)     7-13   
 515 H Taylor Allderdice      PA    Div2-S2 ( 4- 9, 71.8)     4- 5  o
 517 A Trinity                PA    Div2-S1 ( 4- 8, 74.0)    10- 6   
 519 A Butler Area            PA    Div2-S2 (18- 2, 95.3)     2-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Trinity                 7- 6       1     4    -     -3.98
   419 H Taylor Allderdice       7- 3       4     7    -     -3.17
   421 A Quaker Valley           4- 5      -1     0          -1.53
   424 A University              3-12      -9   -21          n/a  
   427 A Chartiers Valley        4-16     -12    -9          -0.45
   428 A Canon-McMillan          4- 3       1     6    --    -5.67
   503 A Knoch                  10- 9  o    1     4    -     -3.10
   505 H Seton LaSalle          11- 3       8    13    -     -2.00
   508 H Norwin                  7- 4       3     9    ---   -6.30
   512 A Greensburg Cath Cent    7-13      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   515 H Taylor Allderdice       4- 5  o   -1     7    ---   -8.17
   517 A Trinity                10- 6       4     2           1.29
   519 A Butler Area             2-16     -14   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H Norwin                  7- 4       3     9    ---   -6.30
   515 H Taylor Allderdice       4- 5  o   -1     7    ---   -8.17
   428 A Canon-McMillan          4- 3       1     6    --    -5.67
   414 H Trinity                 7- 6       1     4    -     -3.98
   419 H Taylor Allderdice       7- 3       4     7    -     -3.17
   503 A Knoch                  10- 9  o    1     4    -     -3.10
   505 H Seton LaSalle          11- 3       8    13    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Greensburg Cath Cent    7-13      -6   -13    ++     4.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.87 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.74 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/