Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Mike Hoppey           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.8209991    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 87.2)    11- 4   
 327 H Emmaus                 PA    LehighV (16- 8, 90.7)    10- 5   
 407 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 79.1)    18- 3   
 409 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 80.4)    10- 2   
 410 H Yorktown               NY A  Sec 1   (11- 8, 94.8)     9- 4   
 413 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 80.6)    15- 1   
 415 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.4)    10-11   
 419 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 78.7)    15- 4   
 421 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 92.3)    10- 7   
 427 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.2)    13- 8   
 501 N Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 81.0)    15- 3   
 505 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.9)     5-16   
 507 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 85.5)    18-10   
 511 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.8)    10- 7   
 513 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 79.2)     9- 2   
 517 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.2)    12- 1   
 525 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 87.2)    11- 9   
 528 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.2)     4- 3   
 603 N West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.9)     9-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Smithtown East         11- 4       7     8          -1.05
   327 H Emmaus                 10- 5       5     4          n/a  
   407 A Patchogue-Medford      18- 3      15    15           0.00
   409 H Bay Shore              10- 2       8    14    -     -2.00
   410 H Yorktown                9- 4       5     0          n/a  
   413 H Sachem East            15- 1      14    14           0.00
   415 A Walt Whitman           10-11      -1     7    ---   -8.81
   419 H West Babylon           15- 4      11    16           0.00
   421 A Connetquot             10- 7       3     1           1.15
   427 H Smithtown West         13- 8       5     4           0.92
   501 N Northport              15- 3      12    13           0.00
   505 A West Islip              5-16     -11    -5    --    -4.29
   507 A William Floyd          18-10       8     8          -0.73
   511 H East Islip             10- 7       3     3          -0.45
   513 A Middle Country          9- 2       7    14    -     -3.00
   517 A Sachem North           12- 1      11     6    +      3.97
   525 H Smithtown East         11- 9       2     8    ---   -6.05
   528 H Smithtown West          4- 3       1     4    -     -3.08
   603 N West Islip              9-16      -7    -5          -1.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Walt Whitman           10-11      -1     7    ---   -8.81
   525 H Smithtown East         11- 9       2     8    ---   -6.05
   505 A West Islip              5-16     -11    -5    --    -4.29
   409 H Bay Shore              10- 2       8    14    -     -2.00
   513 A Middle Country          9- 2       7    14    -     -3.00
   528 H Smithtown West          4- 3       1     4    -     -3.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Yorktown                9- 4       5     0    ++         
   517 A Sachem North           12- 1      11     6    +      3.97
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.73 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.67 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   22.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.170.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/