Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Dowd             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.8008499    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (14- 6, 87.4)     2-18   
 405 H Marlboro               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 4-11, 67.3)    10- 9 2o
 406 A Red Bank Regional      NJ    Grp-II  ( 7-11, 75.8)     3-11   
 408 H St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 2-14, 64.2)    19- 9   
 413 H Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   (13- 3, 88.7)     4-15   
 415 A Holmdel                NJ    Grp-II  ( 9- 8, 78.8)     8-11   
 417 H Freehold Township      NJ    Grp-IV  (14- 3, 86.3)    10-15   
 420 H Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (14- 6, 87.4)     3-16   
 422 H Red Bank Regional      NJ    Grp-II  ( 7-11, 75.8)     6-15   
 424 A St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 2-14, 64.2)    14- 5   
 427 A Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   (13- 3, 88.7)     8-21   
 429 H Holmdel                NJ    Grp-II  ( 9- 8, 78.8)     7-13   
 504 H Manasquan              NJ    Grp-I   (15- 5, 81.4)     5-12   
 505 A Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-A   ( 8- 6, 78.1)     6-12   
 507 H Brick Memorial         NJ    Grp-III ( 5- 9, 72.3)     9-11   
 511 H Toms River East        NJ    Grp-III ( 6-12, 72.2)    11- 9   
 513 H Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  (15- 4, 81.9)     4-11   
 517 H Wall Township          NJ    Grp-II  (10- 8, 75.1)    14- 5   
 519 A Ocean Township         NJ    Grp-II  ( 6-13, 67.8)     9- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Rumson-Fair Haven       2-18     -16   -17           0.00
   405 H Marlboro               10- 9 2o    1     5    --    -4.28
   406 A Red Bank Regional       3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.11
   408 H St Rose Belmar         19- 9      10     8           1.60
   413 H Red Bank Catholic       4-15     -11   -16           0.00
   415 A Holmdel                 8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.96
   417 H Freehold Township      10-15      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   420 H Rumson-Fair Haven       3-16     -13   -14           0.00
   422 H Red Bank Regional       6-15      -9    -3    --    -5.83
   424 A St Rose Belmar         14- 5       9     5    +      3.31
   427 A Red Bank Catholic       8-21     -13   -18           0.00
   429 H Holmdel                 7-13      -6    -6           0.24
   504 H Manasquan               5-12      -7    -8           1.77
   505 A Monsignor Donovan       6-12      -6    -8    +      2.26
   507 H Brick Memorial          9-11      -2     0    -     -2.27
   511 H Toms River East        11- 9       2     0           1.56
   513 H Southern Regional       4-11      -7    -9    +      2.30
   517 H Wall Township          14- 5       9    -2    +++   11.51
   519 A Ocean Township          9- 5       4     2           1.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Marlboro               10- 9 2o    1     5    --    -4.28
   422 H Red Bank Regional       6-15      -9    -3    --    -5.83
   406 A Red Bank Regional       3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.11
   507 H Brick Memorial          9-11      -2     0    -     -2.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 H Wall Township          14- 5       9    -2    +++   11.51
   415 A Holmdel                 8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.96
   417 H Freehold Township      10-15      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   424 A St Rose Belmar         14- 5       9     5    +      3.31
   505 A Monsignor Donovan       6-12      -6    -8    +      2.26
   513 H Southern Regional       4-11      -7    -9    +      2.30
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.23 Local Power Rank...........   135
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.87 Local SOS Rank.............    97
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............   122
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   152
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   149
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/