Region = OH 1  SoWest           
   Nickname = H Aves                 Coach  =   Tom Nugent            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.7112579    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Summit Country Day     OH 2  SoWest  (11- 8, 88.1)     9- 8   
 326 H Glenbrook North        IL A  CenSub  ( 7-13, 83.4)     8- 5   
 327 H Loveland               OH 1  SoWest  ( 8-10, 84.3)    11- 7   
 407 A Upper Arlington        OH 1  Central (18- 2, 99.9)     1-11   
 409 H Cathedral              IN    ICC     (13- 6, 91.1)    15- 8   
 410 H Cincinnati Indian Hill OH 2  SoWest  (13- 6, 90.6)     2- 8   
 416 H Archbishop Moeller     OH 1  SoWest  ( 7-15, 85.5)    10- 6   
 423 A Hilliard Davidson      OH 1  Central (19- 3, 96.6)    10-11   
 428 A Lakota East            OH 1  SoWest  ( 4-14, 75.1)    16- 1   
 430 A Mason                  OH 1  SoWest  (18- 2, 98.8)     3- 8   
 505 A Cincinnati St Xavier   OH 1  SoWest  (13- 8, 93.4)     7-12   
 507 A Lakota West            OH 1  SoWest  ( 7- 7, 84.1)    10- 4   
 508 H Hilliard Darby         OH 1  Central ( 2-15, 73.4)    14- 0   
 511 A Mariemont              OH 2  SoWest  (15- 6, 89.3)     4- 6   
 514 H Kiski Prep             PA    Indep   (12- 9, 91.8)    13- 7   
 515 H Dublin Coffman         OH 1  Central (12- 7, 92.0)     3-11   
 518 A Dublin Jerome          OH 2  Central (18- 4, 98.6)     8-15   
 522 H Lakota East            OH 1  SoWest  ( 4-14, 75.1)    15- 5   
 526 A Mason                  OH 1  SoWest  (18- 2, 98.8)     5-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Summit Country Day      9- 8       1     0           0.50
   326 H Glenbrook North         8- 5       3     5          n/a  
   327 H Loveland               11- 7       4     4          -0.34
   407 A Upper Arlington         1-11     -10   -13           0.00
   409 H Cathedral              15- 8       7    -2          n/a  
   410 H Cincinnati Indian Hill  2- 8      -6    -1    --    -4.09
   416 H Archbishop Moeller     10- 6       4     3           0.84
   423 A Hilliard Davidson      10-11      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   428 A Lakota East            16- 1      15    11           0.00
   430 A Mason                   3- 8      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   505 A Cincinnati St Xavier    7-12      -5    -6           1.91
   507 A Lakota West            10- 4       6     2    +      3.63
   508 H Hilliard Darby         14- 0      14    15           0.00
   511 A Mariemont               4- 6      -2    -2           0.82
   514 H Kiski Prep             13- 7       6    -3          n/a  
   515 H Dublin Coffman          3-11      -8    -3    --    -4.60
   518 A Dublin Jerome           8-15      -7   -12    +      3.00
   522 H Lakota East            15- 5      10    13           0.00
   526 A Mason                   5-17     -12   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Cincinnati Indian Hill  2- 8      -6    -1    --    -4.09
   515 H Dublin Coffman          3-11      -8    -3    --    -4.60
   326 H Glenbrook North         8- 5       3     5    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Cathedral              15- 8       7    -2    +++        
   423 A Hilliard Davidson      10-11      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   514 H Kiski Prep             13- 7       6    -3    +++        
   430 A Mason                   3- 8      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   507 A Lakota West            10- 4       6     2    +      3.63
   518 A Dublin Jerome           8-15      -7   -12    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.58 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.74 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/