Conf =  CentMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Nate Skermont         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6765442    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Westborough            MA 2          ( 5-13, 88.3)     6- 8   
 403 A Groton-Dunstable       MA 2          (16- 3, 99.2)     5-12   
 406 H Wachusett              MA 2          (16- 7, 96.8)     7- 9   
 410 A Grafton                MA 2          (20- 2, 98.9)     8- 9   
 413 A Algonquin              MA 2          (13-10, 94.1)     3- 4   
 415 A Marlborough            MA 2          ( 7-13, 87.6)     2- 3   
 420 A Haverhill              MA 1          ( 4-14, 76.2)     8- 9   
 422 H Nashoba Regional       MA 2          (10-10, 93.7)     9- 8   
 424 H St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (16- 5, 99.9)     5- 8   
 427 H North Middlesex        MA 2          (12- 8, 93.7)     9-10  o
 429 A Nashoba Regional       MA 2          (10-10, 93.7)     4-12   
 504 H Westborough            MA 2          ( 5-13, 88.3)     6- 7   
 506 A Wachusett              MA 2          (16- 7, 96.8)     8- 9   
 511 H Groton-Dunstable       MA 2          (16- 3, 99.2)     4- 9   
 513 H Algonquin              MA 2          (13-10, 94.1)     5- 4  o
 518 H Marlborough            MA 2          ( 7-13, 87.6)     9- 6   
 520 A North Middlesex        MA 2          (12- 8, 93.7)     6- 7  o
 522 A Tantasqua Regional     MA 2          ( 5-15, 81.6)    10- 5   
 524 H Nipmuc Regional        MA 2          (11-10, 85.6)     8- 4   
 526 H Shepherd Hill          MA 2          ( 6-12, 80.0)    13- 3   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Westborough             6- 8      -2     0          -1.87
   403 A Groton-Dunstable        5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   406 H Wachusett               7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.97
   410 A Grafton                 8- 9      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   413 A Algonquin               3- 4      -1    -5    ++     4.93
   415 A Marlborough             2- 3      -1     0          -1.56
   420 A Haverhill               8- 9      -1    11          n/a  
   422 H Nashoba Regional        9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.80
   424 H St Johns Shrewsbury     5- 8      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   427 H North Middlesex         9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.85
   429 A Nashoba Regional        4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.48
   504 H Westborough             6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.59
   506 A Wachusett               8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.70
   511 H Groton-Dunstable        4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.29
   513 H Algonquin               5- 4  o    1    -4    ++     5.21
   518 H Marlborough             9- 6       3     2           0.71
   520 A North Middlesex         6- 7  o   -1    -5    ++     4.57
   522 A Tantasqua Regional     10- 5       5     6          -1.54
   524 H Nipmuc Regional         8- 4       4     4          -0.23
   526 H Shepherd Hill          13- 3      10     9           0.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Haverhill               8- 9      -1    11    ---        
   429 A Nashoba Regional        4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.48
   504 H Westborough             6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Grafton                 8- 9      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   424 H St Johns Shrewsbury     5- 8      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   506 A Wachusett               8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.70
   406 H Wachusett               7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.97
   413 A Algonquin               3- 4      -1    -5    ++     4.93
   422 H Nashoba Regional        9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.80
   511 H Groton-Dunstable        4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.29
   513 H Algonquin               5- 4  o    1    -4    ++     5.21
   520 A North Middlesex         6- 7  o   -1    -5    ++     4.57
   403 A Groton-Dunstable        5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   427 H North Middlesex         9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.00 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.74 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6-13 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/