Region = NY C  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Black Horses         Coach  =   Bill Battaglia        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.7365112    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Troy                   NY B  Sec 2   ( 7-10, 77.3)     1- 9   
 403 A Amsterdam              NY B  Sec 2   ( 3-13, 67.6)     6- 3   
 407 A Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 4-14, 68.3)    11- 3   
 413 N Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (11- 7, 83.3)     2-10   
 416 A Greenwich Central      NY C  Sec 2   (11- 5, 82.5)     9- 8  o
 421 H Lansingburgh           NY C  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 70.8)     3- 5   
 423 A South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 4-13, 72.9)     8- 9   
 427 A Cambridge Central      NY C  Sec 2   ( 3-13, 69.6)     6- 5  o
 505 H Greenwich Central      NY C  Sec 2   (11- 5, 82.5)     4-10   
 508 N Red Hook               NY C  Sec 9   (12- 5, 88.9)     2- 6   
 511 A Lansingburgh           NY C  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 70.8)     5- 2   
 513 H Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 4-14, 68.3)     5- 2   
 519 H Cambridge Central      NY C  Sec 2   ( 3-13, 69.6)     5- 9   
 520 A Scotia-Glenville       NY B  Sec 2   (10- 7, 82.4)     3-10   
 525 H Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 4-14, 68.3)     1- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Troy                    1- 9      -8    -3    --    -4.06
   403 A Amsterdam               6- 3       3     5    -     -2.42
   407 A Johnstown              11- 3       8     4    +      3.26
   413 N Glens Falls             2-10      -8   -10    +      2.00
   416 A Greenwich Central       9- 8  o    1    -9    +++   10.50
   421 H Lansingburgh            3- 5      -2     2    --    -4.56
   423 A South Glens Falls       8- 9      -1     0          -1.16
   427 A Cambridge Central       6- 5  o    1     3    -     -2.38
   505 H Greenwich Central       4-10      -6    -9    +      3.15
   508 N Red Hook                2- 6      -4   -15          n/a  
   511 A Lansingburgh            5- 2       3     2           0.79
   513 H Johnstown               5- 2       3     5    -     -2.09
   519 H Cambridge Central       5- 9      -4     3    ---   -7.74
   520 A Scotia-Glenville        3-10      -7    -9    +      2.36
   525 H Johnstown               1- 5      -4     5    ---   -9.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 H Cambridge Central       5- 9      -4     3    ---   -7.74
   525 H Johnstown               1- 5      -4     5    ---   -9.09
   401 H Troy                    1- 9      -8    -3    --    -4.06
   421 H Lansingburgh            3- 5      -2     2    --    -4.56
   403 A Amsterdam               6- 3       3     5    -     -2.42
   427 A Cambridge Central       6- 5  o    1     3    -     -2.38
   513 H Johnstown               5- 2       3     5    -     -2.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Greenwich Central       9- 8  o    1    -9    +++   10.50
   508 N Red Hook                2- 6      -4   -15    +++        
   407 A Johnstown              11- 3       8     4    +      3.26
   413 N Glens Falls             2-10      -8   -10    +      2.00
   505 H Greenwich Central       4-10      -6    -9    +      3.15
   520 A Scotia-Glenville        3-10      -7    -9    +      2.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.20 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.32 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/