Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Paul Deon             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.2852097    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 9- 9, 79.1)     6- 5   
 410 H Old Saybrook           CT S          (13- 4, 80.4)     7- 8 3o
 413 H Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 6-10, 71.9)    12- 2   
 415 A Waterford              CT S          ( 8-10, 74.7)    10- 3   
 417 H Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 5-11, 70.6)     9- 0   
 420 A Bacon Academy          CT S          ( 9- 8, 75.6)    12- 2   
 423 A Ledyard                CT S          (20- 1, 90.9)     4-14   
 427 H Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 2-14, 59.6)    14- 0   
 429 H Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 3-12, 69.7)    13- 3   
 503 A East Lyme              CT M          (12- 7, 86.4)     7-10   
 506 A Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 6-10, 71.9)    11- 5   
 513 H Bacon Academy          CT S          ( 9- 8, 75.6)    10- 1   
 515 A Old Lyme               CT S          (11- 7, 84.0)     9-10   
 518 H Ledyard                CT S          (20- 1, 90.9)     5- 9   
 520 A Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 2-14, 59.6)    18- 0   
 524 H Morgan-Clinton         CT S          ( 7-10, 75.8)    11- 2   
 526 A East Lyme              CT M          (12- 7, 86.4)     4-11   
 603 H Valley Regional        CT S          ( 9- 8, 74.8)     8- 5   
 605 A Ellington              CT S          (15- 4, 83.9)     7- 6   
 608 N Weston                 CT S          (20- 3, 93.0)     4-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Norwich Free Academy    6- 5       1     4    -     -3.41
   410 H Old Saybrook            7- 8 3o   -1     3    --    -4.06
   413 H Saint Bernard          12- 2      10    11           0.00
   415 A Waterford              10- 3       7     6           0.11
   417 H Woodstock Academy       9- 0       9    12          -1.00
   420 A Bacon Academy          12- 2      10     5    ++     4.01
   423 A Ledyard                 4-14     -10    -9          -0.75
   427 H Wheeler-No Stonington  14- 0      14    23           0.00
   429 H Fitch-Groton           13- 3      10    13           0.00
   503 A East Lyme               7-10      -3    -4           1.75
   506 A Saint Bernard          11- 5       6     9    -     -3.72
   513 H Bacon Academy          10- 1       9     7           1.16
   515 A Old Lyme                9-10      -1    -2           1.32
   518 H Ledyard                 5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.40
   520 A Wheeler-No Stonington  18- 0      18    22           0.00
   524 H Morgan-Clinton         11- 2       9     7           1.33
   526 A East Lyme               4-11      -7    -4    -     -2.25
   603 H Valley Regional         8- 5       3     8    --    -5.68
   605 A Ellington               7- 6       1    -2    +      3.27
   608 N Weston                  4-11      -7   -10    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Old Saybrook            7- 8 3o   -1     3    --    -4.06
   603 H Valley Regional         8- 5       3     8    --    -5.68
   408 H Norwich Free Academy    6- 5       1     4    -     -3.41
   506 A Saint Bernard          11- 5       6     9    -     -3.72
   526 A East Lyme               4-11      -7    -4    -     -2.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Bacon Academy          12- 2      10     5    ++     4.01
   518 H Ledyard                 5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.40
   605 A Ellington               7- 6       1    -2    +      3.27
   608 N Weston                  4-11      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.56 Local Power Rank...........    34
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.69 Local SOS Rank.............    57
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    64
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/