Conf =  GMC                       Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Marc Moreau           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.2093201    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Rutgers Prep           NJ    Private (13- 2, 89.4)    14- 4   
 403 A Peddie School          NJ    Private (11- 8, 85.7)    11- 4   
 405 A Central Bucks East     PA    SubCont (16- 5, 89.8)    17- 6   
 406 A South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 5, 82.9)    18- 4   
 408 H North Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  ( 4-13, 70.9)    20- 4   
 410 H Palos Verdes           CA    So-Bay  (18- 2, 97.6)    16- 3   
 413 A Monroe Township        NJ    Grp-III ( 9- 7, 75.9)    17- 3   
 415 H East Brunswick         NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 7, 82.5)    20- 4   
 417 H Bergen Catholic        NJ    Grp-A   ( 8-10, 85.1)    18- 9   
 419 H Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (11- 8, 89.2)     9- 8  o
 420 A J.P. Stevens           NJ    Grp-IV  ( 2-16, 58.1)    18- 1   
 424 N Boston College HS      MA 1          ( 8-10, 90.1)    12- 7   
 425 H Bishop Guertin         NH 1          (19- 2, 99.9)     9-10   
 429 H West Windsor-PB No     NJ    Grp-III (19- 5, 89.9)     8- 3   
 501 A Immaculata             NJ    Grp-B   (15- 5, 92.6)    10- 7   
 505 H Old Bridge             NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7- 9, 78.7)    15- 2   
 508 H J.P. Stevens           NJ    Grp-IV  ( 2-16, 58.1)    19- 2   
 510 A Don Bosco Prep         NJ    Grp-A   (12- 9, 88.6)     6- 5  o
 511 H Old Bridge             NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7- 9, 78.7)    20- 3   
 513 H East Brunswick         NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 7, 82.5)    13- 2   
 520 H Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (14- 5, 86.1)    14- 6   
 522 H Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (11- 8, 89.2)    10- 7   
 526 N St Augustine Prep      NJ    Grp-A   (19- 3, 92.4)     7- 6   
 602 N Montclair              NJ    Grp-IV  (17- 4, 94.3)     9- 7   
 605 N Summit                 NJ    Grp-I   (23- 0, 99.9)     1- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Rutgers Prep           14- 4      10     5    ++     4.48
   403 A Peddie School          11- 4       7     9    -     -2.26
   405 A Central Bucks East     17- 6      11     5          n/a  
   406 A South Brunswick        18- 4      14    11           0.00
   408 H North Brunswick        20- 4      16    26           0.00
   410 H Palos Verdes           16- 3      13     0          n/a  
   413 A Monroe Township        17- 3      14    19           0.00
   415 H East Brunswick         20- 4      16    15           0.00
   417 H Bergen Catholic        18- 9       9    12          -1.00
   419 H Seton Hall Prep         9- 8  o    1     8    ---   -7.50
   420 A J.P. Stevens           18- 1      17    36           0.00
   424 N Boston College HS      12- 7       5     6          n/a  
   425 H Bishop Guertin          9-10      -1    -2          n/a  
   429 H West Windsor-PB No      8- 3       5     7    -     -2.72
   501 A Immaculata             10- 7       3     2           0.68
   505 H Old Bridge             15- 2      13    18           0.00
   508 H J.P. Stevens           19- 2      17    39           0.00
   510 A Don Bosco Prep          6- 5  o    1     6    --    -5.28
   511 H Old Bridge             20- 3      17    18           0.00
   513 H East Brunswick         13- 2      11    15           0.00
   520 H Christian Bros         14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   522 H Seton Hall Prep        10- 7       3     8    --    -5.50
   526 N St Augustine Prep       7- 6       1     3    -     -2.89
   602 N Montclair               9- 7       2     2          -0.03
   605 N Summit                  1- 6      -5    -3          -1.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Seton Hall Prep         9- 8  o    1     8    ---   -7.50
   510 A Don Bosco Prep          6- 5  o    1     6    --    -5.28
   522 H Seton Hall Prep        10- 7       3     8    --    -5.50
   403 A Peddie School          11- 4       7     9    -     -2.26
   429 H West Windsor-PB No      8- 3       5     7    -     -2.72
   520 H Christian Bros         14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   526 N St Augustine Prep       7- 6       1     3    -     -2.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Palos Verdes           16- 3      13     0    +++        
   401 A Rutgers Prep           14- 4      10     5    ++     4.48
   405 A Central Bucks East     17- 6      11     5    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.29 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.72 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.69 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 23- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/