Conf =  Div II                    Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Bulls                Coach  =   Sean Keenan           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.2405853    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.4)    11- 3   
 331 H Farmingdale            NY A  Sec 8   (16- 3, 94.4)    15- 8   
 403 H Garden City            NY B  Sec 8   (18- 4, 97.3)     5- 6   
 407 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 78.2)    15- 8   
 409 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.8)    15-17   
 413 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 81.9)     9- 3   
 419 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 85.5)    10- 7   
 421 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.9)     3-13   
 423 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 80.4)    14- 2   
 427 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 94.7)     8-13   
 429 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 81.0)    12- 9   
 505 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 92.3)    10- 7   
 507 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 78.7)    15- 7   
 511 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.2)    10- 9   
 513 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 80.6)    16-10   
 517 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 87.2)     7- 6   
 525 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.2)    12- 8   
 528 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 94.7)     3- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Walt Whitman           11- 3       8     5    +      2.63
   331 H Farmingdale            15- 8       7    -2          n/a  
   403 H Garden City             5- 6      -1    -5          n/a  
   407 A Lindenhurst            15- 8       7    12    -     -3.00
   409 A East Islip             15-17      -2    -1          -0.82
   413 H Half Hollow Hills East  9- 3       6     9    -     -3.84
   419 A William Floyd          10- 7       3     5    -     -2.20
   421 H West Islip              3-13     -10    -8          -1.85
   423 H Bay Shore              14- 2      12    11           0.00
   427 A Ward Melville           8-13      -5    -4          -0.92
   429 H Northport              12- 9       3    10    ---   -7.00
   505 H Connetquot             10- 7       3     0    +      3.59
   507 A West Babylon           15- 7       8    11    -     -2.00
   511 H Sachem North           10- 9       1     3    -     -2.59
   513 A Sachem East            16-10       6    10    --    -4.00
   517 A Smithtown East          7- 6       1     3    -     -2.42
   525 H Sachem North           12- 8       4     3           0.41
   528 A Ward Melville           3- 4      -1    -4    +      3.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Northport              12- 9       3    10    ---   -7.00
   513 A Sachem East            16-10       6    10    --    -4.00
   407 A Lindenhurst            15- 8       7    12    -     -3.00
   413 H Half Hollow Hills East  9- 3       6     9    -     -3.84
   419 A William Floyd          10- 7       3     5    -     -2.20
   507 A West Babylon           15- 7       8    11    -     -2.00
   511 H Sachem North           10- 9       1     3    -     -2.59
   517 A Smithtown East          7- 6       1     3    -     -2.42

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Farmingdale            15- 8       7    -2    +++        
   403 H Garden City             5- 6      -1    -5    ++         
   326 H Walt Whitman           11- 3       8     5    +      2.63
   505 H Connetquot             10- 7       3     0    +      3.59
   528 A Ward Melville           3- 4      -1    -4    +      3.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.20 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.11 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/