Conf =  Fitch                     Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Pirates              Coach  =   Dave Giarusso         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.8724594    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Lawrenceville          NJ    Private (12- 8, 90.6)    12-13   
 407 H Chatham                NJ    Grp-I   (11- 7, 91.4)    10-15   
 410 H Randolph               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7-13, 83.7)    11- 9   
 414 H Mendham                NJ    Grp-II  ( 9-11, 86.4)     7- 5   
 417 A Madison                NJ    Grp-I   (17- 5, 93.5)     7-12   
 419 A St Joseph Metuchen     NJ    Grp-A   (23- 2, 96.3)     8- 9  o
 422 A Summit                 NJ    Grp-I   (23- 0, 99.9)     1-14   
 423 H East Side-Newark       NJ    Grp-II  ( 1-17, 56.6)    17- 0   
 426 A Westfield              NJ    Grp-III (12- 8, 87.6)     5- 4  o
 428 A West Essex Regional    NJ    Grp-I   (14- 5, 92.3)     8-10   
 430 A Montgomery             NJ    Grp-III (13- 8, 91.0)     9- 8 2o
 502 H Montclair Kim Acad     NJ    Grp-B   (12- 6, 83.7)    15- 1   
 505 H Columbia               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 3-13, 77.3)    14- 8   
 507 H Bergen Catholic        NJ    Grp-A   ( 8-10, 85.1)    13-10   
 509 A West Essex Regional    NJ    Grp-I   (14- 5, 92.3)     9- 6   
 512 H West Morris Central    NJ    Grp-III (12- 7, 88.5)    10-11   
 516 N Glen Ridge             NJ    Grp-I   (13- 6, 90.7)    12- 7   
 519 A Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   ( 9- 8, 90.5)     8- 6   
 522 A St Joseph Metuchen     NJ    Grp-A   (23- 2, 96.3)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Lawrenceville          12-13      -1    -2           1.79
   407 H Chatham                10-15      -5     0    --    -4.11
   410 H Randolph               11- 9       2     6    --    -4.85
   414 H Mendham                 7- 5       2     4    -     -2.07
   417 A Madison                 7-12      -5    -5           0.68
   419 A St Joseph Metuchen      8- 9  o   -1    -8    +++    7.50
   422 A Summit                  1-14     -13   -12           0.00
   423 H East Side-Newark       17- 0      17    33           0.00
   426 A Westfield               5- 4  o    1     0           0.84
   428 A West Essex Regional     8-10      -2    -4    +      2.50
   430 A Montgomery              9- 8 2o    1    -3    ++     4.22
   502 H Montclair Kim Acad     15- 1      14     6    +      3.21
   505 H Columbia               14- 8       6    13    --    -4.00
   507 H Bergen Catholic        13-10       3     5    -     -2.38
   509 A West Essex Regional     9- 6       3    -4    +++    7.50
   512 H West Morris Central    10-11      -1     1    -     -2.97
   516 N Glen Ridge             12- 7       5    -1    +++    6.57
   519 A Delbarton               8- 6       2    -2    ++     4.71
   522 A St Joseph Metuchen      7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Chatham                10-15      -5     0    --    -4.11
   410 H Randolph               11- 9       2     6    --    -4.85
   505 H Columbia               14- 8       6    13    --    -4.00
   414 H Mendham                 7- 5       2     4    -     -2.07
   507 H Bergen Catholic        13-10       3     5    -     -2.38
   512 H West Morris Central    10-11      -1     1    -     -2.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A St Joseph Metuchen      8- 9  o   -1    -8    +++    7.50
   509 A West Essex Regional     9- 6       3    -4    +++    7.50
   516 N Glen Ridge             12- 7       5    -1    +++    6.57
   430 A Montgomery              9- 8 2o    1    -3    ++     4.22
   519 A Delbarton               8- 6       2    -2    ++     4.71
   522 A St Joseph Metuchen      7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.50
   428 A West Essex Regional     8-10      -2    -4    +      2.50
   502 H Montclair Kim Acad     15- 1      14     6    +      3.21
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.15 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.20 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/