Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Jay Mauro             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.4207535    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Potomac School         DC    MAC     (10- 7, 91.5)    17- 3   
 331 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.9)    13-12  o
 403 N Syosset                NY A  Sec 8   (10- 7, 90.0)     7- 8  o
 407 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 80.4)    12- 5   
 413 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 71.0)    21- 4   
 415 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 92.3)     7-11   
 419 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 71.9)    13- 2   
 421 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.4)    12- 7   
 427 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.8)     7- 6  o
 429 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 73.8)    19- 7   
 503 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 79.1)     8- 7   
 505 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 87.2)     6- 8   
 508 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 79.2)    12- 4   
 511 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.2)     9-10   
 513 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 85.5)     8-13   
 517 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 94.7)     1-12   
 520 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 81.0)    13-11   
 525 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.2)     8-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Potomac School         17- 3      14    -3          n/a  
   331 A West Islip             13-12  o    1   -12    +++   11.00
   403 N Syosset                 7- 8  o   -1    -1          n/a  
   407 A Bay Shore              12- 5       7     7          -0.22
   413 H Copiague               21- 4      17    17           0.00
   415 H Connetquot              7-11      -4    -3          -0.37
   419 H Riverhead              13- 2      11    16           0.00
   421 H Walt Whitman           12- 7       5     2    +      2.67
   427 A East Islip              7- 6  o    1    -4    ++     5.22
   429 A Longwood               19- 7      12    13           0.00
   503 H Patchogue-Medford       8- 7       1     9    ---   -8.60
   505 A Smithtown East          6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.38
   508 H Middle Country         12- 4       8     9          -1.48
   511 A Smithtown West          9-10      -1    -3    +      2.59
   513 A William Floyd           8-13      -5     2    ---   -7.16
   517 H Ward Melville           1-12     -11    -6    -     -3.97
   520 H Northport              13-11       2     7    --    -5.72
   525 A Smithtown West          8-12      -4    -3          -0.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Patchogue-Medford       8- 7       1     9    ---   -8.60
   513 A William Floyd           8-13      -5     2    ---   -7.16
   520 H Northport              13-11       2     7    --    -5.72
   505 A Smithtown East          6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.38
   517 H Ward Melville           1-12     -11    -6    -     -3.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Potomac School         17- 3      14    -3    +++        
   331 A West Islip             13-12  o    1   -12    +++   11.00
   427 A East Islip              7- 6  o    1    -4    ++     5.22
   421 H Walt Whitman           12- 7       5     2    +      2.67
   511 A Smithtown West          9-10      -1    -3    +      2.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.16 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.62 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    41
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/