Region = NY    Ivy              
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   T.J. Barnett          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.0553665    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     (11- 5, 97.1)     9- 8  o
 409 H Hackley                NY    Ivy     (17- 4, 99.9)    14-11   
 414 H Dalton                 NY    Ivy     ( 7-11, 89.0)    12- 6   
 416 H Fieldston              NY    Ivy     ( 8-10, 91.9)     9-10  o
 421 H Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     (10- 8, 91.8)    10- 9   
 423 A Collegiate             NY    Ivy     ( 5-12, 86.6)    13- 2   
 426 A Trinity School         NY    Ivy     ( 3-12, 87.4)     9- 5   
 428 H Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     (11- 5, 97.1)     7- 8   
 430 A Hackley                NY    Ivy     (17- 4, 99.9)     8-15   
 503 A Portledge              NY    MLA     ( 4- 9, 82.2)    11- 5   
 505 A Dalton                 NY    Ivy     ( 7-11, 89.0)    11- 6   
 508 A Fieldston              NY    Ivy     ( 8-10, 91.9)     7- 9   
 512 A Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     (10- 8, 91.8)     1- 7   
 514 H Collegiate             NY    Ivy     ( 5-12, 86.6)    10- 9  o
 519 H Trinity School         NY    Ivy     ( 3-12, 87.4)     8- 6   
 523 H Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     (10- 8, 91.8)     8- 7 2o
 524 A Rye Country Day        NE 2  FAA     (18- 2, 99.9)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Poly Prep               9- 8  o    1    -2    +      3.56
   409 H Hackley                14-11       3    -3    +++    6.57
   414 H Dalton                 12- 6       6     7          -1.28
   416 H Fieldston               9-10  o   -1     4    --    -5.47
   421 H Horace Mann            10- 9       1     4    -     -3.51
   423 A Collegiate             13- 2      11     7    +      2.06
   426 A Trinity School          9- 5       4     7    -     -3.06
   428 H Poly Prep               7- 8      -1     0          -0.28
   430 A Hackley                 8-15      -7    -5          -1.59
   503 A Portledge              11- 5       6    12    --    -4.00
   505 A Dalton                 11- 6       5     5          -0.45
   508 A Fieldston               7- 9      -2     2    --    -4.63
   512 A Horace Mann             1- 7      -6     2    ---   -8.67
   514 H Collegiate             10- 9  o    1     9    ---   -8.78
   519 H Trinity School          8- 6       2     8    ---   -6.89
   523 H Horace Mann             8- 7 2o    1     4    -     -3.51
   524 A Rye Country Day         7- 8      -1    -5          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Horace Mann             1- 7      -6     2    ---   -8.67
   514 H Collegiate             10- 9  o    1     9    ---   -8.78
   519 H Trinity School          8- 6       2     8    ---   -6.89
   416 H Fieldston               9-10  o   -1     4    --    -5.47
   503 A Portledge              11- 5       6    12    --    -4.00
   508 A Fieldston               7- 9      -2     2    --    -4.63
   421 H Horace Mann            10- 9       1     4    -     -3.51
   426 A Trinity School          9- 5       4     7    -     -3.06
   523 H Horace Mann             8- 7 2o    1     4    -     -3.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Hackley                14-11       3    -3    +++    6.57
   524 A Rye Country Day         7- 8      -1    -5    ++         
   407 A Poly Prep               9- 8  o    1    -2    +      3.56
   423 A Collegiate             13- 2      11     7    +      2.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.41 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.31 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .   12.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.200.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/