Region = NY C  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Brian Hobart          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.7274780    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   (10- 8, 84.6)    15- 4   
 406 H Bath-Haverling         NY C  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 80.3)    18- 7   
 410 N Carthage               NY B  Sec 3   (13- 4, 87.2)    10- 9   
 415 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 85.7)    15-13   
 417 N Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 85.4)     6- 5   
 420 A Lakeland/Panas         NY A  Sec 1   (18- 4, 98.9)     6- 8   
 423 H Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (16- 2, 97.2)     6- 9   
 427 H McQuaid Jesuit         NY B  Sec 5   (12- 5, 88.9)     7- 8   
 429 A Aquinas Institute      NY C  Sec 5   (17- 4, 92.8)    14- 6   
 501 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (13- 4, 87.7)    11-12  o
 505 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 79.8)    13- 6   
 508 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (19- 3, 99.9)     2-13   
 513 H Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (15- 4, 93.3)     6-13   
 515 A Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   (15- 4, 86.3)     7- 6   
 518 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 87.2)     6- 9   
 522 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 91.8)     9-10   
 526 H Bishop Kearney         NY B  Sec 5   ( 0-14, 58.5)    22- 1   
 528 H Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   (10- 8, 84.6)     8- 5   
 601 N Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   (15- 4, 86.3)     7- 4   
 604 N Aquinas Institute      NY C  Sec 5   (17- 4, 92.8)     9-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Livonia                15- 4      11     4    ++     5.68
   406 H Bath-Haverling         18- 7      11     8           1.42
   410 N Carthage               10- 9       1     0          n/a  
   415 H West Seneca East       15-13       2     3          n/a  
   417 N Webster Schroeder       6- 5       1     2          -1.63
   420 A Lakeland/Panas          6- 8      -2   -11          n/a  
   423 H Canandaigua             6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.23
   427 H McQuaid Jesuit          7- 8      -1     0          -1.00
   429 A Aquinas Institute      14- 6       8    -5    +++   13.58
   501 A Baldwinsville          11-12  o   -1     0          n/a  
   505 H Frontier               13- 6       7     8          n/a  
   508 A Fairport                2-13     -11   -12           0.00
   513 H Webster Thomas          6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.63
   515 A Geneva                  7- 6       1     0           0.06
   518 A Penfield                6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.05
   522 A Amherst                 9-10      -1    -4          n/a  
   526 H Bishop Kearney         22- 1      21    30           0.00
   528 H Livonia                 8- 5       3     4          -1.32
   601 N Geneva                  7- 4       3     1           1.21
   604 N Aquinas Institute       9-16      -7    -4    -     -2.27

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Webster Thomas          6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.63
   518 A Penfield                6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.05
   604 N Aquinas Institute       9-16      -7    -4    -     -2.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Lakeland/Panas          6- 8      -2   -11    +++        
   429 A Aquinas Institute      14- 6       8    -5    +++   13.58
   403 H Livonia                15- 4      11     4    ++     5.68
   423 H Canandaigua             6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.23
   522 A Amherst                 9-10      -1    -4    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.08 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.80 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/