Conf =  Indep                     Region = NJ    Private          
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Ross Turco            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.5178528    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Germantown Academy     PA    IAC     ( 9- 8, 92.2)     4-16   
 331 H Penn Charter           PA    IAC     (10-10, 89.4)    10-12   
 401 H Mercersburg Academy    PA    Indep   ( 0-12, 71.9)    11- 1   
 403 H St Joseph Metuchen     NJ    Grp-A   (23- 2, 96.3)     4-11   
 406 H Cape Henlopen          DE    CapHen  (13- 3, 97.0)     6- 5   
 407 A Cherokee               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 3-15, 75.6)     8- 7  o
 410 A Episcopal Academy      PA    IAC     (16- 6, 96.2)     3-12   
 412 A Montgomery             NJ    Grp-III (13- 8, 91.0)     3- 4   
 414 H Hun School             NJ    Private ( 8- 9, 80.8)    16- 8   
 421 A Hill School            PA    Indep   ( 9- 7, 89.0)     5- 3   
 423 H Notre Dame-Lawrence    NJ    Grp-A   (14- 3, 89.4)     2- 8   
 424 H South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 5, 82.9)    12- 4   
 428 H Blair Academy          NJ    Private ( 4-12, 70.3)    14- 1   
 430 A Eastern Regional       NJ    Grp-IV  (13- 6, 86.8)     7- 6   
 503 H Hun School             NJ    Private ( 8- 9, 80.8)    11- 7   
 505 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (14- 6, 87.4)     6- 5  o
 510 A Lawrenceville          NJ    Private (12- 8, 90.6)     6- 9   
 512 A St Augustine Prep      NJ    Grp-A   (19- 3, 92.4)     6-13   
 515 A Wyoming Seminary       PA    Indep   ( 8- 6, 82.2)     8- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Germantown Academy      4-16     -12    -7          n/a  
   331 H Penn Charter           10-12      -2    -2          n/a  
   401 H Mercersburg Academy    11- 1      10    14          n/a  
   403 H St Joseph Metuchen      4-11      -7    -9    +      2.26
   406 H Cape Henlopen           6- 5       1   -10          n/a  
   407 A Cherokee                8- 7  o    1     8    ---   -7.73
   410 A Episcopal Academy       3-12      -9   -11          n/a  
   412 A Montgomery              3- 4      -1    -6    ++     5.70
   414 H Hun School             16- 8       8     6           1.80
   421 A Hill School             5- 3       2    -4          n/a  
   423 H Notre Dame-Lawrence     2- 8      -6    -2    -     -3.64
   424 H South Brunswick        12- 4       8     4    +      3.91
   428 H Blair Academy          14- 1      13    16           0.00
   430 A Eastern Regional        7- 6       1    -2    +      3.53
   503 H Hun School             11- 7       4     6    -     -2.20
   505 A Rumson-Fair Haven       6- 5  o    1    -3    ++     4.11
   510 A Lawrenceville           6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.27
   512 A St Augustine Prep       6-13      -7    -8           1.09
   515 A Wyoming Seminary        8- 6       2     2          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Cherokee                8- 7  o    1     8    ---   -7.73
   327 A Germantown Academy      4-16     -12    -7    -          
   423 H Notre Dame-Lawrence     2- 8      -6    -2    -     -3.64
   503 H Hun School             11- 7       4     6    -     -2.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Cape Henlopen           6- 5       1   -10    +++        
   421 A Hill School             5- 3       2    -4    +++        
   412 A Montgomery              3- 4      -1    -6    ++     5.70
   505 A Rumson-Fair Haven       6- 5  o    1    -3    ++     4.11
   403 H St Joseph Metuchen      4-11      -7    -9    +      2.26
   424 H South Brunswick        12- 4       8     4    +      3.91
   430 A Eastern Regional        7- 6       1    -2    +      3.53
   510 A Lawrenceville           6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.67 Local Power Rank...........    44
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.48 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   127
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    50
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/