Region = NY C  Sec 9            
   Nickname = Y Raiders              Coach  =   Ryan Armstrong        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.9076538    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Wappingers Falls CSD   NY A  Sec 1   ( 7- 9, 82.1)    12-16   
 407 A Briarcliff             NY C  Sec 1   ( 8- 9, 81.7)     8-13   
 410 A Red Hook               NY C  Sec 9   (12- 5, 88.9)     7- 5   
 412 H New Paltz              NY C  Sec 9   ( 0-12, 68.3)    17- 1   
 421 H Highland               NY C  Sec 9   ( 2-12, 74.0)    18- 3   
 426 H Wallkill               NY B  Sec 9   ( 9- 4, 90.6)     8-16   
 428 A Saugerties             NY B  Sec 9   (13- 3, 93.5)     4-15   
 430 A J.S. Burke Catholic    NY C  Sec 9   ( 7- 8, 80.9)    11- 3   
 505 A New Paltz              NY C  Sec 9   ( 0-12, 68.3)    12- 2   
 511 A Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   (10- 6, 88.3)    10-14   
 512 A Highland               NY C  Sec 9   ( 2-12, 74.0)     8- 4   
 514 H Red Hook               NY C  Sec 9   (12- 5, 88.9)    10- 9   
 515 A Albertus Magnus        NY C  Sec 1   ( 1-14, 67.4)     9- 4   
 517 A Wallkill               NY B  Sec 9   ( 9- 4, 90.6)     8-15   
 519 H Saugerties             NY B  Sec 9   (13- 3, 93.5)     8-11   
 521 H J.S. Burke Catholic    NY C  Sec 9   ( 7- 8, 80.9)     8- 6   
 602 N Red Hook               NY C  Sec 9   (12- 5, 88.9)     4-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Wappingers Falls CSD   12-16      -4     1          n/a  
   407 A Briarcliff              8-13      -5     1          n/a  
   410 A Red Hook                7- 5       2    -5    +++    7.33
   412 H New Paltz              17- 1      16    16           0.00
   421 H Highland               18- 3      15    10           0.00
   426 H Wallkill                8-16      -8    -6          -2.00
   428 A Saugerties              4-15     -11    -9          -0.10
   430 A J.S. Burke Catholic    11- 3       8     2    ++     5.26
   505 A New Paltz              12- 2      10    15           0.00
   511 A Monroe-Woodbury        10-14      -4    -4           0.74
   512 A Highland                8- 4       4     9    --    -5.59
   514 H Red Hook               10- 9       1    -4    ++     5.31
   515 A Albertus Magnus         9- 4       5    16          n/a  
   517 A Wallkill                8-15      -7    -7           0.03
   519 H Saugerties              8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.87
   521 H J.S. Burke Catholic     8- 6       2     3          -1.77
   602 N Red Hook                4-14     -10    -4    --    -5.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Briarcliff              8-13      -5     1    ---        
   405 A Wappingers Falls CSD   12-16      -4     1    --         
   512 A Highland                8- 4       4     9    --    -5.59
   515 A Albertus Magnus         9- 4       5    16    --         
   602 N Red Hook                4-14     -10    -4    --    -5.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Red Hook                7- 5       2    -5    +++    7.33
   430 A J.S. Burke Catholic    11- 3       8     2    ++     5.26
   514 H Red Hook               10- 9       1    -4    ++     5.31
   519 H Saugerties              8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.87
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.11 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.95 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/