Region = PA Mid 1 Nickname = A Polar Bears Coach = Jeff MillerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.7263184 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 326 H York Suburban PA York 2 (13- 5, 87.6) 8- 9 402 H New Oxford PA York 2 ( 1-17, 65.5) 18- 1 406 A Carlisle PA Mid 1 (15- 6, 89.6) 8-13 407 H Bishop McDevitt PA Mid 1 ( 4-12, 75.8) 7-12 409 H Central York PA York 1 ( 3-14, 77.1) 9- 6 410 A Red Lion PA York 1 (17- 3, 93.9) 5-14 412 A Palmyra PA Mid 1 (11- 7, 84.0) 3- 8 417 H Spring Grove PA York 1 ( 7- 8, 83.1) 11-13 421 H Lower Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 7-11, 80.7) 9- 4 423 H Hershey PA Mid 1 ( 6-12, 80.3) 8- 7 424 A Dallastown PA York 1 (12- 5, 88.1) 3-15 428 A Cumberland Valley PA Mid 1 (13- 6, 89.4) 10-12 429 H Harrisburg Academy PA Mid 1 (10- 6, 83.0) 14- 5 501 H Central Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 6- 8, 81.3) 16- 4 503 A Chambersburg PA Mid 1 ( 7- 7, 82.7) 12-10 505 A Central Dauphin East PA Mid 1 ( 4-12, 72.3) 14- 6 510 H Mechanicsburg PA Mid 1 ( 5-12, 75.5) 6- 7 511 A Carlisle PA Mid 1 (15- 6, 89.6) 5- 6PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 H York Suburban 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.37 402 H New Oxford 18- 1 17 17 0.00 406 A Carlisle 8-13 -5 -7 + 2.96 407 H Bishop McDevitt 7-12 -5 7 --- -12.40 409 H Central York 9- 6 3 6 - -3.16 410 A Red Lion 5-14 -9 -12 1.00 412 A Palmyra 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.65 417 H Spring Grove 11-13 -2 0 - -2.15 421 H Lower Dauphin 9- 4 5 2 + 2.41 423 H Hershey 8- 7 1 2 -1.90 424 A Dallastown 3-15 -12 -6 - -3.52 428 A Cumberland Valley 10-12 -2 -7 ++ 5.74 429 H Harrisburg Academy 14- 5 9 0 +++ 8.81 501 H Central Dauphin 16- 4 12 1 +++ 8.02 503 A Chambersburg 12-10 2 -1 + 3.03 505 A Central Dauphin East 14- 6 8 9 -1.33 510 H Mechanicsburg 6- 7 -1 7 --- -8.72 511 A Carlisle 5- 6 -1 -7 +++ 6.96UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Bishop McDevitt 7-12 -5 7 --- -12.40 510 H Mechanicsburg 6- 7 -1 7 --- -8.72 409 H Central York 9- 6 3 6 - -3.16 412 A Palmyra 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.65 417 H Spring Grove 11-13 -2 0 - -2.15 424 A Dallastown 3-15 -12 -6 - -3.52OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 H Harrisburg Academy 14- 5 9 0 +++ 8.81 501 H Central Dauphin 16- 4 12 1 +++ 8.02 511 A Carlisle 5- 6 -1 -7 +++ 6.96 428 A Cumberland Valley 10-12 -2 -7 ++ 5.74 326 H York Suburban 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.37 406 A Carlisle 8-13 -5 -7 + 2.96 421 H Lower Dauphin 9- 4 5 2 + 2.41 503 A Chambersburg 12-10 2 -1 + 3.03/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 82.45 Local Power Rank........... 23 Local SOS Rating......... 62.07 Local SOS Rank............. 27 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 30 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 38 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 33 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0