Region = PA    Mid 1            
   Nickname = A Polar Bears          Coach  =   Jeff Miller           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.7263184    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H York Suburban          PA    York 2  (13- 5, 87.6)     8- 9   
 402 H New Oxford             PA    York 2  ( 1-17, 65.5)    18- 1   
 406 A Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (15- 6, 89.6)     8-13   
 407 H Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 4-12, 75.8)     7-12   
 409 H Central York           PA    York 1  ( 3-14, 77.1)     9- 6   
 410 A Red Lion               PA    York 1  (17- 3, 93.9)     5-14   
 412 A Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   (11- 7, 84.0)     3- 8   
 417 H Spring Grove           PA    York 1  ( 7- 8, 83.1)    11-13   
 421 H Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 7-11, 80.7)     9- 4   
 423 H Hershey                PA    Mid 1   ( 6-12, 80.3)     8- 7   
 424 A Dallastown             PA    York 1  (12- 5, 88.1)     3-15   
 428 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (13- 6, 89.4)    10-12   
 429 H Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   (10- 6, 83.0)    14- 5   
 501 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 6- 8, 81.3)    16- 4   
 503 A Chambersburg           PA    Mid 1   ( 7- 7, 82.7)    12-10   
 505 A Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 4-12, 72.3)    14- 6   
 510 H Mechanicsburg          PA    Mid 1   ( 5-12, 75.5)     6- 7   
 511 A Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (15- 6, 89.6)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H York Suburban           8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.37
   402 H New Oxford             18- 1      17    17           0.00
   406 A Carlisle                8-13      -5    -7    +      2.96
   407 H Bishop McDevitt         7-12      -5     7    ---  -12.40
   409 H Central York            9- 6       3     6    -     -3.16
   410 A Red Lion                5-14      -9   -12           1.00
   412 A Palmyra                 3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.65
   417 H Spring Grove           11-13      -2     0    -     -2.15
   421 H Lower Dauphin           9- 4       5     2    +      2.41
   423 H Hershey                 8- 7       1     2          -1.90
   424 A Dallastown              3-15     -12    -6    -     -3.52
   428 A Cumberland Valley      10-12      -2    -7    ++     5.74
   429 H Harrisburg Academy     14- 5       9     0    +++    8.81
   501 H Central Dauphin        16- 4      12     1    +++    8.02
   503 A Chambersburg           12-10       2    -1    +      3.03
   505 A Central Dauphin East   14- 6       8     9          -1.33
   510 H Mechanicsburg           6- 7      -1     7    ---   -8.72
   511 A Carlisle                5- 6      -1    -7    +++    6.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Bishop McDevitt         7-12      -5     7    ---  -12.40
   510 H Mechanicsburg           6- 7      -1     7    ---   -8.72
   409 H Central York            9- 6       3     6    -     -3.16
   412 A Palmyra                 3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.65
   417 H Spring Grove           11-13      -2     0    -     -2.15
   424 A Dallastown              3-15     -12    -6    -     -3.52

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Harrisburg Academy     14- 5       9     0    +++    8.81
   501 H Central Dauphin        16- 4      12     1    +++    8.02
   511 A Carlisle                5- 6      -1    -7    +++    6.96
   428 A Cumberland Valley      10-12      -2    -7    ++     5.74
   326 H York Suburban           8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.37
   406 A Carlisle                8-13      -5    -7    +      2.96
   421 H Lower Dauphin           9- 4       5     2    +      2.41
   503 A Chambersburg           12-10       2    -1    +      3.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.45 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.07 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
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