Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-II           
   Nickname = J Scarlet Flyers       Coach  =   Mike Smurro           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   71.4484787    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Marlboro               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 4-11, 67.3)     4- 5   
 405 H Colts Neck             NJ    Grp-III ( 8- 8, 76.6)     3-16   
 407 A Red Bank Regional      NJ    Grp-II  ( 7-11, 75.8)     1-14   
 410 A Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (14- 5, 86.1)     2-15   
 413 H Freehold Township      NJ    Grp-IV  (14- 3, 86.3)     2-17   
 415 A Ocean Township         NJ    Grp-II  ( 6-13, 67.8)     2-11   
 417 H Howell                 NJ    Grp-IV  (10- 9, 78.8)     2-14   
 419 A Ranney School          NJ    Grp-B   ( 9- 5, 77.8)     6-18   
 420 A Colts Neck             NJ    Grp-III ( 8- 8, 76.6)     2-18   
 422 A Marlboro               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 4-11, 67.3)     4-10   
 427 H Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (14- 5, 86.1)     0-17   
 429 A Freehold Township      NJ    Grp-IV  (14- 3, 86.3)     1-19   
 430 H Ocean Township         NJ    Grp-II  ( 6-13, 67.8)     4- 7   
 504 A Howell                 NJ    Grp-IV  (10- 9, 78.8)     2-15   
 508 A St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 2-14, 64.2)     4- 5  o
 510 A Holmdel                NJ    Grp-II  ( 9- 8, 78.8)     4-14   
 512 H Ranney School          NJ    Grp-B   ( 9- 5, 77.8)     3-11   
 519 H Lacey Township         NJ    Grp-III ( 1-19, 60.0)     7- 6   
 520 A Ewing Township         NJ    Grp-I   ( 3-13, 59.8)     8- 9 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Marlboro                4- 5      -1    -4    +      3.92
   405 H Colts Neck              3-16     -13   -14           0.00
   407 A Red Bank Regional       1-14     -13   -16           0.00
   410 A Christian Bros          2-15     -13   -26           0.00
   413 H Freehold Township       2-17     -15   -23           0.00
   415 A Ocean Township          2-11      -9    -8          -0.87
   417 H Howell                  2-14     -12   -16           0.00
   419 A Ranney School           6-18     -12   -18           0.00
   420 A Colts Neck              2-18     -16   -16           0.00
   422 A Marlboro                4-10      -6    -7           1.64
   427 H Christian Bros          0-17     -17   -23           0.00
   429 A Freehold Township       1-19     -18   -26           0.00
   430 H Ocean Township          4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.42
   504 A Howell                  2-15     -13   -19           0.00
   508 A St Rose Belmar          4- 5  o   -1    -4    +      3.52
   510 A Holmdel                 4-14     -10   -19           0.00
   512 H Ranney School           3-11      -8   -15    +      2.00
   519 H Lacey Township          7- 6       1     2          -1.40
   520 A Ewing Township          8- 9 2o   -1     0          -0.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Marlboro                4- 5      -1    -4    +      3.92
   430 H Ocean Township          4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.42
   508 A St Rose Belmar          4- 5  o   -1    -4    +      3.52
   512 H Ranney School           3-11      -8   -15    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 61.03 Local Power Rank...........   167
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.45 Local SOS Rank.............   135
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.33 Local RPI Rank.............   167
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   103
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   173
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    3.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-18 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
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