Conf =  FCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Chris McGee           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.4689941    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT M          ( 9- 8, 87.1)    10-11   
 410 H South Windsor          CT L          ( 8-10, 79.0)     9- 2   
 414 A Trumbull               CT L          (11- 7, 86.4)     7-16   
 417 H New Canaan             CT M          (17- 5, 95.3)     4-14   
 421 H Northwest Catholic     CT S          (10- 9, 84.7)    10- 4   
 424 H Danbury                CT L          ( 6-10, 78.7)    12- 6   
 426 H Trinity Catholic       CT S          ( 0-15, 65.1)    19- 1   
 429 H Ridgefield             CT L          (12- 6, 94.7)     1-16   
 501 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT L          ( 6-10, 84.3)     3- 7   
 504 A Wilton                 CT M          (12- 7, 92.2)     8-15   
 508 A Stamford               CT L          ( 5-11, 76.7)    12- 4   
 511 H Darien                 CT M          (19- 3, 99.9)     3-17   
 513 A Fairfield-Warde        CT M          ( 5-11, 77.8)     8- 6   
 515 A Staples-Westport       CT L          (18- 2, 94.7)     1-14   
 519 H St Joseph-Trumbull     CT S          (15- 7, 90.3)     6-13   
 521 H Masuk-Monroe           CT M          ( 6-10, 76.1)    17- 7   
 601 A Amity Regional         CT L          ( 9-10, 83.0)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Fairfield-Ludlowe      10-11      -1    -3    +      2.91
   410 H South Windsor           9- 2       7     4    +      2.84
   414 A Trumbull                7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.99
   417 H New Canaan              4-14     -10   -12           0.00
   421 H Northwest Catholic     10- 4       6    -1    +++    7.54
   424 H Danbury                12- 6       6     4           1.54
   426 H Trinity Catholic       19- 1      18    18           0.00
   429 H Ridgefield              1-16     -15   -11           0.00
   501 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk   3- 7      -4    -2          -1.02
   504 A Wilton                  8-15      -7   -10    +      3.00
   508 A Stamford               12- 4       8     4    +      3.32
   511 H Darien                  3-17     -14   -16           0.00
   513 A Fairfield-Warde         8- 6       2     3          -1.51
   515 A Staples-Westport        1-14     -13   -13           0.00
   519 H St Joseph-Trumbull      6-13      -7    -7           0.11
   521 H Masuk-Monroe           17- 7      10     7    +      2.92
   601 A Amity Regional          8- 9      -1    -1           0.60

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Trumbull                7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.99

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Northwest Catholic     10- 4       6    -1    +++    7.54
   407 H Fairfield-Ludlowe      10-11      -1    -3    +      2.91
   410 H South Windsor           9- 2       7     4    +      2.84
   504 A Wilton                  8-15      -7   -10    +      3.00
   508 A Stamford               12- 4       8     4    +      3.32
   521 H Masuk-Monroe           17- 7      10     7    +      2.92
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.28 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.05 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    46
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/