Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Vince Shiffert        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.2367020    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 H Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 77.8)    19- 2   
 413 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 85.7)    12- 5   
 416 A Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   (14- 6, 94.2)     9-17   
 420 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-14, 75.3)    15- 1   
 421 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (19- 3, 99.9)     4-15   
 424 H Salmon River           NY C  Sec 10  (18- 1, 99.9)    12-18   
 427 H Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 91.8)    10-12   
 429 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 3, 97.8)     6-15   
 501 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 81.7)    15- 4   
 504 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-12, 76.0)    14- 6   
 506 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 89.4)    14-13  o
 511 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-12, 78.6)    13- 7   
 514 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (16- 2, 99.9)     9-17   
 518 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 84.7)    16-13   
 520 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 84.2)    11- 9   
 524 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (12- 6, 89.6)    12- 6   
 528 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 85.7)    14-10   
 602 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 91.8)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Lake Shore Central     19- 2      17    13           0.00
   413 A West Seneca East       12- 5       7     4    +      2.52
   416 A Timon St Jude           9-17      -8    -4    -     -3.99
   420 A West Seneca West       15- 1      14    14           0.00
   421 H Fairport                4-15     -11    -8          n/a  
   424 H Salmon River           12-18      -6    -8          n/a  
   427 H Amherst                10-12      -2     0          -1.39
   429 H Hamburg                 6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.46
   501 A Grand Island           15- 4      11     8           1.50
   504 H Williamsville South    14- 6       8    15    -     -2.00
   506 A Iroquois               14-13  o    1     0           0.22
   511 H Williamsville East     13- 7       6    12    --    -4.00
   514 A Orchard Park            9-17      -8    -9           1.67
   518 A Williamsville North    16-13       3     5    -     -2.49
   520 A Sweet Home             11- 9       2     5    -     -3.98
   524 H Lancaster              12- 6       6     1    ++     4.40
   528 H West Seneca East       14-10       4     5          -1.49
   602 A Amherst                10-11      -1    -1           0.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H Williamsville East     13- 7       6    12    --    -4.00
   416 A Timon St Jude           9-17      -8    -4    -     -3.99
   429 H Hamburg                 6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.46
   504 H Williamsville South    14- 6       8    15    -     -2.00
   518 A Williamsville North    16-13       3     5    -     -2.49
   520 A Sweet Home             11- 9       2     5    -     -3.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   524 H Lancaster              12- 6       6     1    ++     4.40
   413 A West Seneca East       12- 5       7     4    +      2.52
   424 H Salmon River           12-18      -6    -8    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.73 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.83 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.120.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/