Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Rebels               Coach  =   Marty Morgan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.5742645    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Brookfield             CT M          (11- 7, 84.9)     9- 4   
 409 A Greenwich HS           CT L          (12- 8, 92.1)     9- 8  o
 414 H Stratford              CT S          ( 4-12, 67.1)    15- 0   
 415 H Bethel                 CT M          ( 6-11, 76.9)    13- 1   
 417 N William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 85.5)     6-14   
 421 H Pomperaug              CT M          ( 8-10, 78.0)    15- 0   
 423 A Masuk-Monroe           CT M          ( 6-10, 76.1)    17- 1   
 424 A Rye HS                 NY C  Sec 1   (12- 8, 92.6)     6- 4   
 430 A Barlow-Redding         CT S          (10- 9, 85.2)     6- 2   
 505 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 0-16, 61.4)    19- 1   
 507 H Immaculate Danbury     CT S          ( 6-11, 73.5)    16- 2   
 512 A Weston                 CT S          (20- 3, 93.0)     6- 7   
 515 H Newtown                CT L          (13- 7, 88.0)     7- 3   
 517 A Bunnell-Stratford      CT M          ( 5-11, 71.1)    15- 1   
 518 A New Milford            CT L          (10- 8, 83.9)     8- 2   
 520 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (17- 6, 95.4)    12- 7   
 522 H Pomperaug              CT M          ( 8-10, 78.0)    17- 2   
 526 H Newtown                CT L          (13- 7, 88.0)     9- 4   
 528 N Weston                 CT S          (20- 3, 93.0)     4- 3 2o
 605 H Avon HS                CT M          (10- 8, 83.3)    14- 3   
 608 N Conard-West Hartford   CT M          (13- 6, 87.1)    13- 2   
 612 N Darien                 CT M          (19- 3, 99.9)     5-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Brookfield              9- 4       5     9    --    -4.77
   409 A Greenwich HS            9- 8  o    1     0           0.31
   414 H Stratford              15- 0      15    27           0.00
   415 H Bethel                 13- 1      12    17           0.00
   417 N William Floyd           6-14      -8     8          n/a  
   421 H Pomperaug              15- 0      15    16           0.00
   423 A Masuk-Monroe           17- 1      16    16           0.00
   424 A Rye HS                  6- 4       2     0          n/a  
   430 A Barlow-Redding          6- 2       4     7    -     -3.59
   505 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   19- 1      18    31           0.00
   507 H Immaculate Danbury     16- 2      14    21           0.00
   512 A Weston                  6- 7      -1     0          -0.81
   515 H Newtown                 7- 3       4     6    -     -2.65
   517 A Bunnell-Stratford      15- 1      14    21           0.00
   518 A New Milford             8- 2       6     8    -     -2.91
   520 A Fairfield Prep         12- 7       5    -2    +++    7.53
   522 H Pomperaug              17- 2      15    16           0.00
   526 H Newtown                 9- 4       5     6          -1.65
   528 N Weston                  4- 3 2o    1     0           0.26
   605 H Avon HS                14- 3      11    11           0.00
   608 N Conard-West Hartford   13- 2      11     6    +      3.36
   612 N Darien                  5-17     -12    -6    -     -3.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 N William Floyd           6-14      -8     8    ---        
   407 H Brookfield              9- 4       5     9    --    -4.77
   430 A Barlow-Redding          6- 2       4     7    -     -3.59
   515 H Newtown                 7- 3       4     6    -     -2.65
   518 A New Milford             8- 2       6     8    -     -2.91
   612 N Darien                  5-17     -12    -6    -     -3.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 A Fairfield Prep         12- 7       5    -2    +++    7.53
   608 N Conard-West Hartford   13- 2      11     6    +      3.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.76 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.99 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    40
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 19- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/