Conf =  MIDWEST                   Region = PA    Div1-S1          
   Nickname = A Blue Devils          Coach  =   Mike Ermer            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.7757263    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H North Allegheny        PA    Div1-S2 (12- 7, 94.1)    10- 6   
 401 A Seneca Valley          PA    Div1-S2 (20- 3, 99.9)     8- 9   
 407 H Franklin Regional      PA    Div1-S1 (10-12, 87.6)    10- 4   
 409 H Sewickley Academy      PA    Div1-S2 (18- 5, 95.6)     4- 5   
 411 A Western Reserve Acad   OH 1  Indep   (14- 7, 96.1)     6-11   
 414 A Bethel Park            PA    Div1-S1 ( 5-10, 82.5)    15- 6   
 417 H Detroit Country Day    MI 2          ( 7-13, 78.7)    17- 7   
 418 H Birmingham-Seaholm     MI 1          (12- 8, 84.4)     7- 4   
 421 H Baldwin                PA    Div1-S1 ( 8-10, 79.5)    12- 6   
 422 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 79.8)    16- 2   
 423 N Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (16- 2, 99.9)     6- 5   
 428 A Peters Township        PA    Div1-S1 (11- 8, 89.8)    11- 2   
 504 A Shady Side Academy     PA    Div1-S2 ( 6-11, 86.5)    11- 7   
 506 H Latrobe                PA    Div1-S1 ( 2-13, 66.0)    18- 1   
 507 N Worthington Kilbourne  OH 1  Central (17- 6, 96.3)     7- 5   
 508 N Thomas Worthington     OH 1  Central (14- 7, 91.5)     6- 7   
 512 A Upper St Clair         PA    Div1-S1 (11- 6, 90.2)     6- 4   
 519 H Shady Side Academy     PA    Div1-S2 ( 6-11, 86.5)     9- 4   
 526 N Sewickley Academy      PA    Div1-S2 (18- 5, 95.6)     7- 8   
 528 N Seneca Valley          PA    Div1-S2 (20- 3, 99.9)     5- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H North Allegheny        10- 6       4     2           1.74
   401 A Seneca Valley           8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.77
   407 H Franklin Regional      10- 4       6     8    -     -2.80
   409 H Sewickley Academy       4- 5      -1     0          -1.75
   411 A Western Reserve Acad    6-11      -5    -1          n/a  
   414 A Bethel Park            15- 6       9    11          -1.00
   417 H Detroit Country Day    17- 7      10    17          n/a  
   418 H Birmingham-Seaholm      7- 4       3    12          n/a  
   421 H Baldwin                12- 6       6    16    --    -4.00
   422 H Frontier               16- 2      14    16          n/a  
   423 N Orchard Park            6- 5       1    -4          n/a  
   428 A Peters Township        11- 2       9     4    ++     4.64
   504 A Shady Side Academy     11- 7       4     7    -     -3.59
   506 H Latrobe                18- 1      17    30           0.00
   507 N Worthington Kilbourne   7- 5       2    -1          n/a  
   508 N Thomas Worthington      6- 7      -1     3          n/a  
   512 A Upper St Clair          6- 4       2     3          -1.95
   519 H Shady Side Academy      9- 4       5     9    --    -4.85
   526 N Sewickley Academy       7- 8      -1     0          -0.62
   528 N Seneca Valley           5- 8      -3    -4           1.64

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Birmingham-Seaholm      7- 4       3    12    ---        
   421 H Baldwin                12- 6       6    16    --    -4.00
   508 N Thomas Worthington      6- 7      -1     3    --         
   519 H Shady Side Academy      9- 4       5     9    --    -4.85
   407 H Franklin Regional      10- 4       6     8    -     -2.80
   411 A Western Reserve Acad    6-11      -5    -1    -          
   504 A Shady Side Academy     11- 7       4     7    -     -3.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Seneca Valley           8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.77
   423 N Orchard Park            6- 5       1    -4    ++         
   428 A Peters Township        11- 2       9     4    ++     4.64
   507 N Worthington Kilbourne   7- 5       2    -1    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.26 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.07 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   16.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/