Region = AZ 1  Div-1            
   Nickname = Z Heat                 Coach  =   Geoff Larsen          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.9480133    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 H Chandler               AZ 1  Div-1   (13- 4, 94.4)     3-16   
 310 A Desert Mountain        AZ 1  Div-1   ( 2-12, 79.8)    11- 6   
 313 H Chaparral              AZ 1  Div-1   (12- 4, 96.4)     5-19   
 319 A Horizon                AZ 1  Div-1   ( 6- 8, 85.0)     6-11   
 323 A Brophy Prep            AZ 1  Div-1   (18- 2, 99.9)     3-18   
 327 A Saguaro                AZ 1  Div-1   ( 8- 7, 89.9)     8-23   
 330 H Desert Vista           AZ 1  Div-1   ( 8- 7, 89.1)     3- 9   
 402 H Gilbert                AZ 1  Div-1   ( 6- 9, 86.1)     8-14   
 410 A Salpointe Catholic     AZ 1  Div-1   (13- 3, 95.5)     2-14   
 417 A Hamilton               AZ 1  Div-1   ( 6- 8, 85.3)    10-20   
 420 H Highland-East Valley   AZ 1  Div-1   ( 1-13, 76.9)    13- 8   
 423 H Mountain Pointe        AZ 1  Div-1   ( 4-10, 83.1)     8-15   
 427 A Corona del Sol         AZ 1  Div-1   ( 6- 8, 86.8)     5-12   
 501 H Tucson Tanque Verde    AZ 1  Div-1   ( 9- 6, 89.2)     6-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Chandler                3-16     -13   -16           0.00
   310 A Desert Mountain        11- 6       5    -3    +++    8.53
   313 H Chaparral               5-19     -14   -18           0.00
   319 A Horizon                 6-11      -5    -8    +      3.70
   323 A Brophy Prep             3-18     -15   -23           0.00
   327 A Saguaro                 8-23     -15   -13           0.00
   330 H Desert Vista            3- 9      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   402 H Gilbert                 8-14      -6    -8    +      2.08
   410 A Salpointe Catholic      2-14     -12   -19           0.00
   417 A Hamilton               10-20     -10    -8          -1.03
   420 H Highland-East Valley   13- 8       5     1    +      3.91
   423 H Mountain Pointe         8-15      -7    -5          -1.89
   427 A Corona del Sol          5-12      -7   -10    +      3.00
   501 H Tucson Tanque Verde     6-10      -4   -11    +++    6.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Desert Mountain        11- 6       5    -3    +++    8.53
   501 H Tucson Tanque Verde     6-10      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   330 H Desert Vista            3- 9      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   319 A Horizon                 6-11      -5    -8    +      3.70
   402 H Gilbert                 8-14      -6    -8    +      2.08
   420 H Highland-East Valley   13- 8       5     1    +      3.91
   427 A Corona del Sol          5-12      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.15 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.12 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-12 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0
/