Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Travis Phillips       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.9874268    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-17, 66.4)    15- 3   
 329 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (12- 6, 89.6)     4-17   
 331 H Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   (17- 2, 93.2)    11-25   
 407 A Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 82.2)    11-18   
 409 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 77.0)     5- 7   
 414 A Wilson                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 69.3)    15- 7   
 419 H Batavia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 72.9)    14-18   
 423 A Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 6- 7, 92.3)    11- 5   
 428 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 68.4)    11-10   
 430 H Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 75.3)    15-13   
 505 A Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   (14- 5, 86.6)     7-11   
 507 H Jamestown              NY I  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 68.8)    17-10   
 512 A Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 75.3)    17- 8   
 519 H Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 79.0)    11-13   
 520 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 68.4)    15- 7   
 521 H Wilson                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 69.3)    22-11   
 528 A Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 82.2)    15-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H North Tonawanda        15- 3      12    13           0.00
   329 H Lancaster               4-17     -13    -9          -0.44
   331 H Silver Creek           11-25     -14   -13           0.00
   407 A Gowanda                11-18      -7    -3    -     -3.83
   409 H Lockport                5- 7      -2     3    --    -5.06
   414 A Wilson                 15- 7       8     9          -1.77
   419 H Batavia                14-18      -4     7          n/a  
   423 A Gow School             11- 5       6   -13          n/a  
   428 H East Aurora            11-10       1    11    ---   -9.00
   430 H Akron                  15-13       2     4    -     -2.77
   505 A Eden                    7-11      -4    -7    +      3.54
   507 H Jamestown              17-10       7    11    -     -3.00
   512 A Akron                  17- 8       9     3    ++     5.24
   519 H Salamanca              11-13      -2     1    -     -3.06
   520 A East Aurora            15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00
   521 H Wilson                 22-11      11    10           0.00
   528 A Gowanda                15-20      -5    -3          -1.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Batavia                14-18      -4     7    ---        
   428 H East Aurora            11-10       1    11    ---   -9.00
   409 H Lockport                5- 7      -2     3    --    -5.06
   407 A Gowanda                11-18      -7    -3    -     -3.83
   430 H Akron                  15-13       2     4    -     -2.77
   507 H Jamestown              17-10       7    11    -     -3.00
   519 H Salamanca              11-13      -2     1    -     -3.06
   520 A East Aurora            15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Gow School             11- 5       6   -13    +++        
   512 A Akron                  17- 8       9     3    ++     5.24
   505 A Eden                    7-11      -4    -7    +      3.54
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.58 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.01 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/