Region = WA 1  SoWest           
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Vern Smith            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.6262665    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 A Churchill              OR    Willim  (11- 9, 81.8)    10-11   
 313 A Sheldon                OR    Willim  (17- 4, 89.8)     7-11   
 320 A Curtis                 WA 1  SoWest  ( 8-10, 84.4)     4-12   
 325 A Stadium-Wilson         WA 1  SoWest  ( 5-10, 75.3)     3- 4   
 327 A Kings Way Christian    WA 1  SoWest  (12- 4, 87.8)     4-10   
 403 A Puyallup               WA 1  SoWest  ( 8- 7, 85.2)     9-13   
 406 H Lynnwood               WA 2  Cascade (16- 3, 99.8)    10- 6   
 414 A Eastlake               WA 1  NoEast  ( 7- 8, 83.0)     7- 8   
 416 H Lakeside               WA 1  NoEast  ( 7- 7, 81.1)    15-14  o
 420 A Eastside Catholic      WA 1  NoEast  ( 2-13, 72.6)     7- 8   
 422 H Mukilteo               WA 1  NoEast  ( 8-10, 82.9)     6-10   
 427 H Tacoma                 WA 1  SoWest  ( 5-10, 77.0)    10-14   
 430 H Bainbridge Island      WA 1  SoWest  (13- 9, 88.8)     8-12   
 505 H Overlake               WA 1  NoEast  ( 9- 7, 84.4)     4-11   
 508 H Lake Tapps             WA 1  SoWest  ( 0-14, 65.2)    18- 8   
 511 A Vashon Island          WA 1  SoWest  ( 2-12, 71.7)    11-12   
 514 H Seattle Prep           WA 1  SoWest  ( 4-12, 77.1)     8- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Churchill              10-11      -1    -5          n/a  
   313 A Sheldon                 7-11      -4   -13          n/a  
   320 A Curtis                  4-12      -8    -8           0.13
   325 A Stadium-Wilson          3- 4      -1     1    -     -2.01
   327 A Kings Way Christian     4-10      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   403 A Puyallup                9-13      -4    -8    ++     4.93
   406 H Lynnwood               10- 6       4   -21          n/a  
   414 A Eastlake                7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.67
   416 H Lakeside               15-14  o    1    -3    ++     4.29
   420 A Eastside Catholic       7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.74
   422 H Mukilteo                6-10      -4    -5           1.08
   427 H Tacoma                 10-14      -4     0    --    -4.84
   430 H Bainbridge Island       8-12      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   505 H Overlake                4-11      -7    -6          -0.42
   508 H Lake Tapps             18- 8      10    12           0.00
   511 A Vashon Island          11-12      -1     4    --    -5.65
   514 H Seattle Prep            8- 5       3     0    +      2.28

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Eastside Catholic       7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.74
   427 H Tacoma                 10-14      -4     0    --    -4.84
   511 A Vashon Island          11-12      -1     4    --    -5.65
   325 A Stadium-Wilson          3- 4      -1     1    -     -2.01

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Sheldon                 7-11      -4   -13    +++        
   406 H Lynnwood               10- 6       4   -21    +++        
   430 H Bainbridge Island       8-12      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   312 A Churchill              10-11      -1    -5    ++         
   327 A Kings Way Christian     4-10      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   403 A Puyallup                9-13      -4    -8    ++     4.93
   414 A Eastlake                7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.67
   416 H Lakeside               15-14  o    1    -3    ++     4.29
   514 H Seattle Prep            8- 5       3     0    +      2.28
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.08 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.27 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.36 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/