Conf =  Catholic                  Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Rick Mazzei           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.0453491    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Newton South           MA 1          ( 1-15, 72.5)    12- 2   
 329 H St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (16- 5, 99.9)    11- 6   
 331 H Beverly                MA 2          (17- 6, 89.1)    12- 3   
 406 H Xaverian Bros          MA 1          ( 6-14, 86.5)    11- 7   
 408 A St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (20- 2, 99.9)     5- 9   
 413 H Boston College HS      MA 1          ( 8-10, 90.1)     9- 8   
 417 H Peabody                MA 1          ( 6-12, 77.7)    16- 1   
 420 A Chelmsford             MA 1          (15- 7, 89.6)    11-12   
 423 A Cathedral Springfield  MA 2          ( 3-14, 78.5)    17- 3   
 427 A Catholic Memorial      MA 2          (13- 9, 90.0)     9- 6   
 429 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1          ( 6-14, 86.5)    11- 9   
 504 H St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (20- 2, 99.9)     4- 7   
 506 A Boston College HS      MA 1          ( 8-10, 90.1)     3-14   
 510 H Dracut                 MA 2          (10-10, 80.4)    16- 4   
 513 H Catholic Memorial      MA 2          (13- 9, 90.0)     9-10   
 517 A Arlington              MA 2          ( 5-13, 78.5)    12- 2   
 524 H Norwell                MA 3          (15- 6, 91.4)     5- 6   
 526 H Central Catholic       MA 1          (13- 8, 84.4)    17- 3   
 602 H Medford                MA 1          (10- 7, 77.3)    14- 0   
 605 A Needham                MA 1          (19- 3, 94.8)     7-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Newton South           12- 2      10    18           0.00
   329 H St Johns Shrewsbury    11- 6       5    -6          n/a  
   331 H Beverly                12- 3       9     4    ++     4.86
   406 H Xaverian Bros          11- 7       4     6    -     -2.80
   408 A St Johns Prep Danvers   5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.44
   413 H Boston College HS       9- 8       1     3    -     -2.19
   417 H Peabody                16- 1      15    15           0.00
   420 A Chelmsford             11-12      -1     1    -     -2.87
   423 A Cathedral Springfield  17- 3      14    13          n/a  
   427 A Catholic Memorial       9- 6       3     1           1.51
   429 A Xaverian Bros          11- 9       2     4    -     -2.99
   504 H St Johns Prep Danvers   4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.64
   506 A Boston College HS       3-14     -11     1    ---  -11.38
   510 H Dracut                 16- 4      12    12           0.00
   513 H Catholic Memorial       9-10      -1     3    --    -4.30
   517 A Arlington              12- 2      10    12           0.00
   524 H Norwell                 5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.83
   526 H Central Catholic       17- 3      14     8           1.12
   602 H Medford                14- 0      14    16           0.00
   605 A Needham                 7-11      -4    -3          -0.70

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Boston College HS       3-14     -11     1    ---  -11.38
   513 H Catholic Memorial       9-10      -1     3    --    -4.30
   406 H Xaverian Bros          11- 7       4     6    -     -2.80
   413 H Boston College HS       9- 8       1     3    -     -2.19
   420 A Chelmsford             11-12      -1     1    -     -2.87
   429 A Xaverian Bros          11- 9       2     4    -     -2.99
   524 H Norwell                 5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H St Johns Shrewsbury    11- 6       5    -6    +++        
   331 H Beverly                12- 3       9     4    ++     4.86
   408 A St Johns Prep Danvers   5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.44
   504 H St Johns Prep Danvers   4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.64
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.36 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.35 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    77
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.0
/