Region = NY I  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Dan Helms             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.8546982    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 6- 7, 93.9)     2- 7   
 331 H St Mary's Lancaster    NY I  Sec 6   (11- 3, 99.9)     5- 6   
 409 H Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 9- 4, 97.0)     9-10   
 410 H Erie-Spears            NY I  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 84.1)     6- 3   
 414 H Genesee LC             NY I  Sec 6   (11- 3, 99.7)    11-12   
 429 H Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 6- 7, 92.3)     4- 5   
 501 A Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 9- 4, 97.0)     3- 9   
 503 A Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 6- 7, 92.3)     3- 5   
 504 A Genesee LC             NY I  Sec 6   (11- 3, 99.7)     2-13   
 506 A Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 6- 7, 93.9)     4- 8   
 508 A Erie-Spears            NY I  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 84.1)     9- 5   
 508 N Wheeling Cent Cath     WV    WVSLA   (10- 8, 96.8)    11- 5   
 510 A St Mary's Lancaster    NY I  Sec 6   (11- 3, 99.9)     3- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Kenmore East            2- 7      -5    -2    -     -2.10
   331 H St Mary's Lancaster     5- 6      -1    -8    +++    7.93
   409 H Newfane                 9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.01
   410 H Erie-Spears             6- 3       3     6    -     -3.82
   414 H Genesee LC             11-12      -1    -8    +++    7.72
   429 H Gow School              4- 5      -1    -1           0.32
   501 A Newfane                 3- 9      -6    -8    +      2.38
   503 A Gow School              3- 5      -2    -3           1.69
   504 A Genesee LC              2-13     -11   -11           0.00
   506 A Kenmore East            4- 8      -4    -5           1.27
   508 A Erie-Spears             9- 5       4     4          -0.45
   508 N Wheeling Cent Cath     11- 5       6    -7          n/a  
   510 A St Mary's Lancaster     3- 9      -6   -11    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Kenmore East            2- 7      -5    -2    -     -2.10
   410 H Erie-Spears             6- 3       3     6    -     -3.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H St Mary's Lancaster     5- 6      -1    -8    +++    7.93
   414 H Genesee LC             11-12      -1    -8    +++    7.72
   508 N Wheeling Cent Cath     11- 5       6    -7    +++        
   409 H Newfane                 9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.01
   510 A St Mary's Lancaster     3- 9      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   501 A Newfane                 3- 9      -6    -8    +      2.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.78 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 87.67 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/